MLB Player Props Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/27

MLB Player Props Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/27

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Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are looking to end their six-game losing streak, while the Mets aim to continue their recent success and strengthen their hold on second place in the NL East.

New York has performed well at home with a 28-26 record and an overall record of 55-48. The Mets have excelled when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 38-15 record in such games. Conversely, the Braves are 54-48 overall and have struggled on the road with a 24-27 record. Atlanta has a strong record of 40-8 in games where they out-hit their opponents.

This game marks the ninth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Mets holding a 5-3 advantage in the season series. Leading the Mets' offense is Francisco Lindor, who has hit 22 home runs and boasts a slugging percentage of .480. On the Braves' side, Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .308 batting average, 20 doubles, 29 home runs, 47 walks, and 81 RBIs.

Recently, the Mets have been in better form, going 7-3 in their last 10 games with a .243 batting average and a 3.64 ERA, outscoring opponents by 15 runs. Meanwhile, the Braves have struggled, going 3-7 in their last 10 games with a .223 batting average and a 4.54 ERA, being outscored by 16 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Pete Alonso:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+430)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135)

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Player Analysis: Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso, the power-hitting first baseman for the New York Mets, has been a key contributor to the team's success this season. Alonso has been particularly effective with his extra-base hits, including home runs and doubles. This season, Alonso has posted impressive numbers, including 20 home runs and 29 doubles. His ability to drive in runs and get on base makes him a constant threat in the Mets' lineup.

Alonso's recent form has been noteworthy. Over the past 10 games, he has been consistent at the plate, contributing significantly to the Mets' offensive output. His slugging percentage and total bases metrics indicate that he is not just hitting for average but also for power.

Opposing Analysis: Atlanta Braves Pitching

Facing Alonso and the Mets will be Spencer Schwellenbach of the Atlanta Braves. Schwellenbach has had a mixed season, posting a 3-5 record with a 4.62 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 50.2 innings pitched. While he has shown flashes of potential, Schwellenbach has also been prone to giving up runs, as indicated by his ERA. The Braves' bullpen has also struggled recently, which could provide Alonso with opportunities to capitalize on any mistakes made by the pitchers.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Spencer Schwellenbach	Atlanta Braves	3-5	4.62	49
Tylor Megill	New York Mets	2-4	5.08	49

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves have had a rollercoaster season. Their hitting has been a strong point, ranking 9th in hits (884) and 5th in runs scored (504). Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .308 batting average and 29 home runs. The Braves' fielding has also been solid, with only 70 errors, ranking them 3rd in the league.

However, the Braves' pitching has been a concern. Their team ERA of 4.15 ranks 21st in the league. The bullpen has had its struggles, and the starting rotation has been inconsistent. Injuries have also plagued the Braves, with key players like Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies currently on the injured list.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have been more consistent this season. Their pitching staff has been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. The bullpen has been reliable, and the starting rotation has been bolstered by strong performances from pitchers like Tylor Megill.

Offensively, the Mets have room for improvement. They rank 18th in hits (825) and 21st in runs scored (428). Francisco Lindor has been a key offensive player, leading the team with 22 home runs. The Mets' fielding has been solid, with only 45 errors, ranking them tied for 27th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	CF	60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (wrist)
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Spencer Strider	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Ronald Acuna Jr.	RF	60-Day IL (knee)

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	4-8	L
@ New York	2-3 F/10	L
vs Cincinnati	4-9	L
vs Cincinnati	1-4	L
vs St. Louis	2-6	L

New York Mets

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Atlanta	8-4	W
vs Atlanta	3-2 F/10	W
@ New York	12-3	W
@ New York	3-2	W
@ Miami	6-4	W

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Prediction

Given Pete Alonso's recent form and his favorable matchup against Spencer Schwellenbach and the Braves' bullpen, we predict that Alonso will have a productive game. The prop bet for Alonso hitting a home run at +400 offers great value, considering his power-hitting ability. Additionally, the prop bet for Alonso to record over 1.5 total bases at +135 also presents a solid option.

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