MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:17:22 AM
MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29
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Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first of a three-game series at Chase Field in Phoenix. Scheduled for Monday, July 29, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT, this game promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams looking to improve their standings.
Arizona enters the game with a 55-51 overall record and a 28-25 home record. The Diamondbacks have shown proficiency when recording eight or more hits, boasting a 45-20 record in such games. Conversely, the Nationals hold a 49-57 overall record and a 26-30 record on the road. They have a strong performance in games where they score five or more runs, standing at 35-13.
This game marks the fourth time these teams meet this season. Notable performers include Arizona's Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 batting average, 20 doubles, two triples, and 23 home runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been on a decent run, going 11-for-39 with a home run and an RBI over the last ten games. On the Nationals’ side, Luis Garcia has a .276 batting average with 18 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. Juan Yepez stands out with a 14-for-38 performance, including two home runs and 12 RBIs over the last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +255
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +180
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +120
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -125
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -160
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -115
Player Analysis
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been a solid performer for the Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .274, he has contributed significantly with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over the past ten games, Gurriel has maintained a decent form, going 11-for-39 with a home run and an RBI. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for Arizona in this matchup against the Nationals.
Opposing Analysis
The Nationals' pitching staff has struggled this season, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league. Mitchell Parker will start for Washington, holding a 5-6 record with a 4.34 ERA and 81 strikeouts over 95.1 innings. Parker has had his ups and downs, but his recent form suggests he could be vulnerable to a hitter like Gurriel, who thrives on making contact and getting on base.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 5-6 | 4.34 | 1.21 | 95.1 | 91 | 81 | 24 | 13 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 7-5 | 6.11 | 1.61 | 70.2 | 90 | 47 | 24 | 8 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have shown that they can be a potent offensive team when clicking, ranking 3rd in runs scored with 527 and 7th in team batting average at .253. However, their pitching and fielding have been less impressive, with a team ERA of 4.50 and ranking 30th in errors with 42. They will need to tighten up their defense and get a solid performance from Mitchell Parker to stand a chance against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been average offensively, ranking 19th in runs scored with 450 and 17th in team batting average at .240. Their pitching has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. Arizona's defense has been solid, ranking 9th in errors with 59. They will rely on Jordan Montgomery to keep the Nationals' hitters in check and hope their offense can provide enough support for a win.
Team Injuries
Washington Nationals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W8-5 | 45-53 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W5-4 | 46-53 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L4-0 | 47-54 | Vasquez 3-5 | Herz 1-4 | NaN | 20749 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L12-3 | 47-55 | Waldron 6-9 | Parker 5-6 | NaN | 23323 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
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Prediction
Given Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s recent form and the Nationals' pitching struggles, the best player prop bet for tonight is:
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Gurriel has been making good contact recently and facing a pitcher like Mitchell Parker, who has shown vulnerability, provides a solid opportunity for him to exceed 1.5 total bases.
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