MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29
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MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29

MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29

MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/29

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Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports


Game Summary

The Washington Nationals will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first of a three-game series at Chase Field in Phoenix. Scheduled for Monday, July 29, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT, this game promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams looking to improve their standings.

Arizona enters the game with a 55-51 overall record and a 28-25 home record. The Diamondbacks have shown proficiency when recording eight or more hits, boasting a 45-20 record in such games. Conversely, the Nationals hold a 49-57 overall record and a 26-30 record on the road. They have a strong performance in games where they score five or more runs, standing at 35-13.

This game marks the fourth time these teams meet this season. Notable performers include Arizona's Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 batting average, 20 doubles, two triples, and 23 home runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been on a decent run, going 11-for-39 with a home run and an RBI over the last ten games. On the Nationals’ side, Luis Garcia has a .276 batting average with 18 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. Juan Yepez stands out with a 14-for-38 performance, including two home runs and 12 RBIs over the last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

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  • Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +255
  • Batter Hits (1.5): Over +180
  • Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +120
  • Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -125
  • Batter Singles (0.5): Over -160
  • Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -115

Player Analysis

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been a solid performer for the Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .274, he has contributed significantly with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over the past ten games, Gurriel has maintained a decent form, going 11-for-39 with a home run and an RBI. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for Arizona in this matchup against the Nationals.

Opposing Analysis

The Nationals' pitching staff has struggled this season, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league. Mitchell Parker will start for Washington, holding a 5-6 record with a 4.34 ERA and 81 strikeouts over 95.1 innings. Parker has had his ups and downs, but his recent form suggests he could be vulnerable to a hitter like Gurriel, who thrives on making contact and getting on base.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Mitchell Parker (WAS) 5-6 4.34 1.21 95.1 91 81 24 13
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 7-5 6.11 1.61 70.2 90 47 24 8

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Team Previews

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have shown that they can be a potent offensive team when clicking, ranking 3rd in runs scored with 527 and 7th in team batting average at .253. However, their pitching and fielding have been less impressive, with a team ERA of 4.50 and ranking 30th in errors with 42. They will need to tighten up their defense and get a solid performance from Mitchell Parker to stand a chance against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have been average offensively, ranking 19th in runs scored with 450 and 17th in team batting average at .240. Their pitching has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. Arizona's defense has been solid, ranking 9th in errors with 59. They will rely on Jordan Montgomery to keep the Nationals' hitters in check and hope their offense can provide enough support for a win.


Team Injuries

Washington Nationals

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Jordan Weems RP Fri, Jul 26 Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Cade Cavalli SP Fri, Jul 26 Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Merrill Kelly SP Sat, Jul 27 Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Recent Games

Washington Nationals

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 vs Cincinnati W8-5 45-53 Corbin 2-9 Montas 4-8 Finnegan 26 38402
Sat, Jul 20 vs Cincinnati W5-4 46-53 Law 6-2 Wilson 1-2 Finnegan 27 32734
Sun, Jul 21 vs Cincinnati W5-2 47-53 Garcia 2-3 Sims 1-4 Finnegan 28 23967
Tue, Jul 23 vs San Diego L4-0 47-54 Vasquez 3-5 Herz 1-4 NaN 20749
Wed, Jul 24 vs San Diego L12-3 47-55 Waldron 6-9 Parker 5-6 NaN 23323

Arizona Diamondbacks

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 @ Chicago W5-2 50-48 Nelson 7-6 Steele 2-4 Sewald 14 40691
Sat, Jul 20 @ Chicago W3-0 51-48 Gallen 7-5 Hendricks 2-8 Sewald 15 39595
Sun, Jul 21 @ Chicago L2-1 F/10 51-49 Neris 8-2 Mantiply 3-2 NaN 39162
Mon, Jul 22 @ Kansas City L10-4 51-50 Ragans 7-6 Diaz 1-1 NaN 16275
Tue, Jul 23 @ Kansas City W6-2 52-50 Montgomery 7-5 Marsh 7-7 NaN 21993

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Prediction

Given Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s recent form and the Nationals' pitching struggles, the best player prop bet for tonight is:

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Gurriel has been making good contact recently and facing a pitcher like Mitchell Parker, who has shown vulnerability, provides a solid opportunity for him to exceed 1.5 total bases.

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last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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