MLB Player Props Bet Guide: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

MLB Player Props Bet Guide: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

Preview:
Padres bring 5-game win streak into matchup with the Orioles
By Data Skrive - Jul 26, 2024, 04:01 am

San Diego Padres (55-50, second in the NL West) vs. Baltimore Orioles (61-41, first in the AL East)
Baltimore; Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT

PITCHING PROBABLES: Padres: Adam Mazur (0-0); Orioles: Grayson Rodriguez (12-4, 3.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 120 strikeouts)

LINE: Orioles -208, Padres +172; over/under is 9 runs

BOTTOM LINE: The San Diego Padres will attempt to build upon a five-game win streak with a victory over the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore is 61-41 overall and 30-22 at home. The Orioles lead the AL with 160 total home runs, averaging 1.6 per game.

San Diego is 29-22 in road games and 55-50 overall. The Padres are 40-5 in games when they scored at least five runs.

The matchup Friday is the first meeting this season between the two teams.

TOP PERFORMERS:

Gunnar Henderson has a .284 batting average to lead the Orioles, and has 19 doubles, five triples and 28 home runs.

Anthony Santander is 14-for-41 with five home runs and 10 RBI over the past 10 games.

Jurickson Profar ranks second on the Padres with 33 extra base hits (17 doubles and 16 home runs).

Kyle Higashioka is 10-for-32 with two doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES:

Orioles: 4-6, .234 batting average, 4.81 ERA, outscored by nine runs
Padres: 6-4, .261 batting average, 2.43 ERA, outscored opponents by 11 runs

INJURIES:

Orioles: Jorge Mateo: 10-Day IL (elbow), Albert Suarez: day-to-day (shin), Danny Coulombe: 60-Day IL (elbow), Kyle Bradish: 60-Day IL (ucl sprain), Tyler Wells: 60-Day IL (elbow), John Means: 60-Day IL (elbow), Felix Bautista: 60-Day IL (elbow)

Padres: Wandy Peralta: 15-Day IL (aductor), Joe Musgrove: 60-Day IL (elbow), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 10-Day IL (quadricep), Luis Patino: 60-Day IL (elbow)

Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Player Prop Odds

Adley Rutschman Prop Odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)

Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-160)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)

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Player Analysis

Adley Rutschman: Rutschman has been a key player for the Orioles this season, showcasing his all-around skills both at the plate and behind it. He has a solid batting average and has been consistently getting on base. His ability to hit doubles and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for any betting prop. With his current form, the over on his total bases and RBIs seems like a strong bet.

Opposing Analysis

San Diego Padres Pitching: The Padres' pitching has been relatively strong, but they have shown vulnerabilities, especially on the road. Adam Mazur, who is starting for the Padres, has struggled this season with an ERA of 7.84. This provides an opportunity for Rutschman to capitalize and potentially exceed his prop odds, especially in categories like total bases and RBIs.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Adam Mazur (SD)	1-3	7.84	21
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL)	12-4	3.83	120

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Team Previews

San Diego Padres

Hitting: The Padres have been solid offensively this season, ranking 6th in hits and 4th in runs. With a team batting average of .253, they have been able to consistently put pressure on opposing pitchers.

Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen has been one of their strengths, with 32 saves ranking 6th in the league. Their overall ERA of 3.73 places them in the top 10.

Fielding: Defensively, the Padres have been average, committing 46 errors which ranks 25th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: The Padres' starting rotation has been solid, but Adam Mazur's performance has been a weak link with an ERA of 7.84.

Baltimore Orioles

Hitting: The Orioles lead the AL in home runs with 160, showcasing their power at the plate. They also rank 1st in hits and batting average, making them a formidable offensive team.

Relief Pitching: The Orioles' bullpen has been reliable, with 25 saves ranking them in the middle of the pack. Their overall ERA of 4.03 is decent but not exceptional.

Fielding: The Orioles have committed 50 errors, placing them 20th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Grayson Rodriguez has been a standout with a record of 12-4 and an ERA of 3.83, providing stability at the top of the rotation.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Wandy Peralta	RP	15-Day IL (aductor)
Joe Musgrove	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	SS	10-Day IL (quadricep)
Luis Patino	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jorge Mateo	2B	10-Day IL (elbow)
Albert Suarez	RP	day-to-day (shin)
Danny Coulombe	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Kyle Bradish	SP	60-Day IL (ucl sprain)
Tyler Wells	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
John Means	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Felix Bautista	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Cleveland	L 7-0	L
@ Cleveland	W 7-0	W
@ Cleveland	W 2-1	W
@ Washington	W 4-0	W
@ Washington	W 12-3	W

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Texas	W 9-1	W
@ Texas	W 8-4	W
@ Texas	L 3-2	L
@ Miami	L 6-3	L
@ Miami	L 6-3	L

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Prediction

Adley Rutschman has been a consistent performer for the Orioles, and with Adam Mazur's struggles on the mound for the Padres, this game sets up nicely for Rutschman to have multiple hits and exceed 1.5 total bases. Given the odds and Rutschman's recent form, this prop bet offers good value.

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