MLB Player Props Bet Guide: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/26
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (60-44, second in the AL East) visit the Boston Red Sox (54-47, third in the AL East) to start a three-game series at Fenway Park in Boston. The game is scheduled for Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Yankees, coming off a four-game split with the Tampa Bay Rays, are looking to gain ground on the division-leading Orioles. Meanwhile, the Red Sox, who recently faced a tough series against the Colorado Rockies, aim to solidify their playoff positioning.
Historically, the Yankees and Red Sox have one of the most storied rivalries in baseball. This season, Boston leads the season series 4-2. The Yankees' offense, led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, has been formidable, boasting a collective .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors. Conversely, the Red Sox have shown power, ranking fourth in the AL with 121 home runs.
Both teams have had their ups and downs in recent games. The Yankees are 4-6 in their last ten, with a .244 batting average and a 3.98 ERA, while the Red Sox are also 4-6, hitting .289 with a 4.88 ERA. With both teams battling injuries, the series opener promises to be a key matchup in the AL East standings.
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Player Prop Odds
Anthony Volpe Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +230
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +185
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +140
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -105
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -145
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -110
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Player Analysis
Anthony Volpe, the Yankees' dynamic shortstop, has been a key contributor to the team's success this season. Volpe has shown a knack for getting on base and creating scoring opportunities. With a batting average hovering around .270 and an on-base percentage of .340, he has been a consistent presence at the plate.
Volpe's recent form has been impressive, with multiple multi-hit games in the past week. His ability to hit doubles and drive in runs has been crucial for the Yankees, especially in high-leverage situations. With his speed and base-running acumen, Volpe is also a threat to score whenever he reaches base.
Opposing Analysis
The Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello on the mound. Bello has had an up-and-down season, posting a 10-5 record with a 5.27 ERA. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, he has also been prone to giving up hits and runs, as evidenced by his 1.44 WHIP.
Bello's struggles against right-handed hitters could be a key factor in this matchup. Volpe, a right-handed batter, could exploit Bello's weaknesses, especially if he can get ahead in the count. The Red Sox bullpen, which has been inconsistent, may also play a significant role if Bello exits early.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cortes (NYY) | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 119.2 | 115 | 111 | 24 | 19 |
| B. Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 95.2 | 104 | 92 | 34 | 15 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been a powerhouse this season, led by their potent offense and strong pitching staff. With a .257 team batting average and a .331 on-base percentage, they rank among the top teams in the majors. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the standout performers, with Judge leading the team in home runs (35) and RBIs (89).
On the pitching side, Nestor Cortes has been a reliable starter, despite his 4-9 record. The bullpen, anchored by closer Aroldis Chapman, has been solid, with 26 saves on the season.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have also been impressive, especially with their power hitting. Rafael Devers has been a force, leading the team with 23 home runs and 63 RBIs. The team’s .247 batting average ranks 12th in the league, and their 121 home runs are fourth in the AL.
Brayan Bello, their probable starter for this game, has had a mixed season, and the bullpen has faced challenges. The Red Sox need a strong performance from their pitching staff to contain the Yankees’ high-powered offense.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stanton | DH | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| N. Burdi | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Casas | 1B | Thu, Jul 25 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| V. Grissom | 2B | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | 59-40 | Cole | Eflin | 47036 | |
| Sat, Jul 20 | Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | 59-41 | Bradley | Cortes | 43173 | |
| Sun, Jul 21 | Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | 59-42 | Cleavinger | Stroman | Fairbanks | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | 60-42 | Rodon | Littell | 40824 | |
| Tue, Jul 23 | New York | L 3-2 | 60-43 | Quintana | Tonkin | Diekman | 47453 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | Los Angeles | L 4-1 | 53-43 | Yarbrough | Bernardino | Hudson | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | Los Angeles | L 7-6 (11) | 53-44 | Treinen | Weissert | 48129 | |
| Sun, Jul 21 | Los Angeles | L 9-6 | 53-45 | Paxton | Crawford | Hudson | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | Colorado | L 9-8 (12) | 53-46 | Lawrence | Horn | 35261 | |
| Tue, Jul 23 | Colorado | W 6-0 | 54-46 | Criswell | Blach | 36553 |
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Prediction
Pick: Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-105)
Given the recent form of Anthony Volpe and the pitching struggles of Brayan Bello, Volpe is well-positioned to score in this matchup. His ability to get on base and the power hitters behind him make this prop a strong play. The Yankees' potent lineup should create multiple scoring opportunities, enhancing the likelihood of Volpe crossing the plate at least once.
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