MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets - 7/29

MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets - 7/29

Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports

### Game Summary The Minnesota Twins (58-46, second in the AL Central) visit the New York Mets (55-50, third in the NL East) to begin a three-game series at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Monday at 7:10 p.m. EDT. Both teams are looking to gain ground in their respective divisions, making this an intriguing matchup. Minnesota comes into this game with a solid road record of 29-25 and has been consistent overall. The Twins have been potent offensively, ranking fifth in the American League with 125 home runs. They're led by Byron Buxton, who has been on a tear recently, going 13-for-43 with five doubles, three home runs, and five RBIs over the last 10 games. The New York Mets, who are 28-28 at home, have also been competitive this season. They have a 43-12 record in games where they outhit their opponents and have shown resilience despite facing numerous injuries. Francisco Lindor continues to be a standout performer with 22 home runs and a .474 slugging percentage. Jeff McNeil has been hot as well, with four doubles, four home runs, and nine RBIs in his last 10 games. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season, adding an element of unpredictability. Both squads are coming off mixed performances in their last 10 games, with the Mets going 6-4 and the Twins 5-5. The Mets have managed a .229 batting average and a 3.84 ERA, while the Twins have posted a .240 batting average and a 3.46 ERA in those games.

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### Player Prop Odds

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- **Royce Lewis - Doubles:** Over 0.5 (+370) - **Royce Lewis - Hits:** Over 1.5 (+250) - **Royce Lewis - Home Runs:** Over 0.5 (+450) - **Royce Lewis - RBIs:** Over 0.5 (+135) - **Royce Lewis - Runs Scored:** Over 0.5 (-120) - **Royce Lewis - Singles:** Over 0.5 (-115) - **Royce Lewis - Total Bases:** Over 1.5 (+115) ### Player Analysis Royce Lewis has been a bright spot for the Minnesota Twins, showcasing his versatility and ability to contribute offensively. In the last few games, Lewis has displayed a knack for getting on base and creating scoring opportunities. With a batting average of .255, Lewis has proven to be a reliable hitter in the Twins' lineup. Lewis's ability to hit for extra bases is also noteworthy. He has accumulated a respectable number of doubles and home runs this season, which makes the prop bet for over 1.5 total bases (+115) particularly appealing. Additionally, his recent form indicates a propensity to score runs, making the over 0.5 runs scored (-120) a solid bet. ### Opposing Analysis The New York Mets will start Jose Quintana, who has had an up-and-down season with a 5-6 record and a 4.02 ERA. Quintana has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been susceptible to giving up hits and runs. His WHIP of 1.28 and strikeout count of 85 indicate that he can be hit around by a disciplined offense like the Twins. The Mets' bullpen has been serviceable but not exceptional, which could benefit hitters like Royce Lewis. Given Quintana's tendency to allow base runners, Lewis has a good chance to capitalize, especially if he gets multiple at-bats against the Mets' relievers. ### Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Simeon Woods Richardson	Minnesota Twins	3-1	3.27	76
Jose Quintana	New York Mets	5-6	4.02	85

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### Team Previews #### Minnesota Twins The Twins have been a balanced team this season, ranking well in both hitting and pitching metrics. They are tied for 10th in hits (895) and rank 6th in runs (506), showcasing their ability to generate offense. Their team batting average of .248 places them 12th in the league, indicating a solid overall hitting performance. On the pitching side, the Twins' ERA of 4.19 ranks 21st, which is an area they need to improve. However, their bullpen has been reliable, with 28 saves ranking 10th in the league. Defensively, the Twins have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd, which is a testament to their strong fielding capabilities. #### New York Mets The Mets have been slightly better in terms of hitting, ranking 9th in hits (897) and 7th in runs (505). Their team batting average of .253 places them 8th in the league, reflecting their consistent offensive output. The Mets' ability to get on base and drive in runs has been a key factor in their overall success. Pitching has been a mixed bag for the Mets, with a team ERA of 4.09, ranking 20th. Their bullpen has been more effective, securing 30 saves, which ranks 7th. Defensively, the Mets have committed 50 errors, placing them tied for 24th, indicating some room for improvement in the field. ### Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jose Miranda	INF	Day-to-day (upper body)
Carlos Correa	SS	10-Day IL (foot)
Kody Funderburk	RP	15-Day IL (oblique)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	15-Day IL (calf)
Shintaro Fujinami	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Harrison Bader	CF	Day-to-day (ankle)

### Recent Games #### Minnesota Twins

Opponent	Score	W/L
Detroit	W 5-0	W
Detroit	L 7-2	L
Detroit	W 9-3	W
Philadelphia	W 5-4	W
Philadelphia	L 3-0	L

#### New York Mets

Opponent	Score	W/L
Atlanta	L 9-2	L
Atlanta	L 4-0	L
Atlanta	W 8-4	W
Atlanta	W 3-2	W
New York Yankees	W 12-3	W

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### Prediction Given Royce Lewis's current form and the favorable matchup against Jose Quintana, the prop bet for Royce Lewis to have over 1.5 total bases (+115) looks promising. Lewis has shown the ability to get on base and hit for extra bases, which should give him multiple opportunities to surpass this mark.

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