MLB Player Props Bet Guide: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26
Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:10 p.m. EDT, and both teams are looking to improve their standings in the tightly contested NL East. The Braves, currently second in the NL East with a 54-47 record, are aiming to break a five-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Mets, right behind them with a 54-48 record, have been performing well lately, winning seven of their last ten games.
Historically, the Mets hold a slight edge in the season series, leading 4-3. The Mets have a solid home record of 27-26, while the Braves have struggled on the road with a 24-26 record. Key performers like Francisco Lindor and Marcell Ozuna will be crucial in this matchup. Lindor has been a powerhouse for the Mets with 22 home runs this season, while Ozuna has been equally impressive for the Braves, hitting 28 home runs.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the prop odds for Marcell Ozuna:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+360)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145)
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Player Analysis
Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer for the Atlanta Braves this season. He boasts a batting average of .305, has hit 28 home runs, and driven in 80 runs. Ozuna’s ability to generate runs is evident from his consistent performance. In the last ten games, he has remained a crucial part of the Braves' offensive lineup.
Ozuna's power-hitting capabilities make him a significant threat, especially in a high-stakes game against the Mets. His recent form suggests that he is more than capable of hitting the Over on several of his props, including home runs and RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets will be starting Kodai Senga, who is making his MLB debut. The lack of major league experience could play in favor of the Braves' hitters, including Ozuna. While Senga has shown promise in international leagues, the transition to MLB can be challenging, especially against a potent Braves lineup.
The Mets' bullpen has been relatively solid, with the team sporting a combined ERA of 3.50, which ranks third in the league. However, they have had issues with consistency, especially against power hitters like Ozuna.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 1.22 | 103.1 | 87 | 101 | 39 | 11 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have had a mixed season so far. Offensively, they are strong, ranking fourth in the NL for total home runs with 115. Marcell Ozuna has been their standout player, but the team has other significant contributors like Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna Jr. Their batting average stands at .249, which is 11th in the league.
The Braves’ pitching staff has struggled at times, with an ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in the league. Charlie Morton, who is starting this game, has been one of their more reliable pitchers with a 3.92 ERA and 101 strikeouts.
New York Mets
The Mets have had a solid season and are only marginally behind the Braves in the standings. Offensively, Francisco Lindor has been their star player with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. The team’s batting average is .240, placing them 17th in the league.
The Mets’ pitching has been their strength, boasting a team ERA of 3.50, which is third-best in the league. However, with Kodai Senga making his debut, there is some uncertainty about how he will perform under the pressure of an MLB game.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Fri, Jul 26 | Ankle | Day-to-Day |
| Christian Scott | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | Fri, Jul 26 | Knee | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Fri, Jul 26 | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Atlanta Braves
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ New York | L3-2 F/10 | 54-47 | Maton 2-2 | Johnson 3-2 | NaN |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Cincinnati | L9-4 | 54-46 | Moll 2-1 | Winans 0-2 | NaN |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Cincinnati | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | 54-45 | Greene 7-4 | Lopez 7-4 | NaN |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L6-2 | 54-44 | Mikolas 8-8 | Schwellenbach 3-5 | NaN |
New York Mets
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs Atlanta | W3-2 F/10 | 54-48 | Maton 2-2 | Johnson 3-2 | NaN |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ New York | W12-3 | 53-48 | Ottavino 2-2 | Cole 3-2 | NaN |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W3-2 | 52-48 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W6-4 | 51-48 | Peterson 5-0 | Chirinos 0-2 | Diaz 12 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L4-2 | 50-48 | Cronin 2-2 | Scott 0-3 | Scott 16 |
Prediction
Pick: Marcell Ozuna Over 0.5 Home Runs (+360)
Given Ozuna's power-hitting abilities and the uncertainty surrounding Kodai Senga's MLB debut, there is significant value in betting on Ozuna to hit a home run. The +360 odds offer a substantial return on investment for a player who has consistently demonstrated his ability to go deep.
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