MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:09:40 AM
MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles are set to clash on July 29, 2024, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This AL East showdown features two teams in contrasting situations. The Orioles are currently leading the AL East with a 62-43 record, while the Blue Jays are fighting to stay afloat with a 49-56 record. Baltimore has been formidable at home, boasting a 31-24 record, while the Blue Jays have struggled on the road with a 23-28 mark.
Baltimore's hitters have posted a collective .315 on-base percentage, the fifth-best in the AL, while Toronto's offense has been more inconsistent. The Blue Jays have a respectable 16-7 record when they don't surrender a home run, which could be crucial against the Orioles' power hitters.
In their head-to-head matchups this season, the series is tied at 3-3, making this game pivotal for both teams. Baltimore is coming off a mixed run of form, going 5-5 in their last 10 games with a .246 batting average and a 4.70 ERA. On the other hand, Toronto has shown some resilience, winning six of their last 10 games with a .269 batting average, although their pitching has been suspect with a 5.40 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Ramon Urias:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+395), Under 0.5 (-704)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-189), Under 0.5 (+136)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190), Under 0.5 (-274)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+133), Under 0.5 (-184)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-104), Under 0.5 (-131)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-189), Under 0.5 (+136)
Player Analysis
Ramon Urias has been a reliable presence in the Orioles' lineup this season. Although not a power hitter, Urias has contributed significantly with timely hits and solid defense. He's batting .240 with 16 doubles, two triples, and 29 home runs. His recent form has seen him go 12-for-36, including two doubles and two home runs over the past 10 games, showcasing his ability to make an impact at the plate.
Opposing Analysis
The Blue Jays will counter with Yariel Rodriguez, who has posted a 1-3 record, a 3.69 ERA, and 42 strikeouts over 39 innings. Rodriguez has shown promise but has struggled with consistency, giving up 19 walks and three home runs. Toronto's bullpen has been shaky, which could provide opportunities for Urias to capitalize on late-game situations.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Rodriguez | 1-3 | 3.69 | 1.26 | 39.0 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 |
| Z. Eflin | 5-7 | 4.09 | 1.16 | 110.0 | 115 | 87 | 13 | 14 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been a revelation this season, leading the AL East with a 62-43 record. Offensively, they rank fifth in on-base percentage (.315) and have shown power with Anthony Santander leading the way with 29 home runs and 68 RBIs. Colton Cowser has also been in excellent form recently, hitting 12-for-36 with two doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games.
On the mound, Zach Eflin will start. He's had an up-and-down season with a 5-7 record and a 4.09 ERA. Eflin has a solid WHIP of 1.16 and has struck out 87 batters in 110 innings, but has been susceptible to giving up home runs, allowing 14 this season.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays, currently fifth in the AL East, have struggled for consistency. Their offense has shown flashes of brilliance, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hitting .301 with 22 doubles and 19 home runs. However, the team has had difficulty maintaining momentum, as evidenced by their 23-28 road record.
Yariel Rodriguez will take the mound with a 1-3 record and a 3.69 ERA. Rodriguez has demonstrated good strikeout ability with 42 Ks in 39 innings, but his control has been an issue, as indicated by his 19 walks. The Blue Jays' bullpen has also been unreliable, which could be a factor in the latter stages of the game.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | SS | 10-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL | UCL Sprain | Out |
| Tyler Wells | RP | 60-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | RP | 60-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
| Bo Bichette | SS | 10-Day IL | Calf | Out |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | IF | 10-Day IL | Knee | Out |
| Alek Manoah | SP | 15-Day IL | Elbow | Out |
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | 59-38 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | 60-38 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | 60-39 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31808 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-40 | Puk 4-8 | Suarez 5-4 | Scott 17 | 10410 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-41 | Nardi 2-1 | Webb 1-5 | Scott 18 | 12127 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
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Prediction
Given Ramon Urias' recent form and the Blue Jays' inconsistent pitching, there's value in betting on Urias to record a hit. He has been seeing the ball well lately, and Yariel Rodriguez's control issues could lead to opportunities for Urias.
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