MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second game of their series at Chase Field in Phoenix on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 after a tightly contested 4-3 victory. Arizona boasts a 27-24 home record and has performed well overall with a 54-50 mark. Their success can be attributed to their ability to score runs, evident by their 41-10 record in games when they score five or more runs.

Meanwhile, the Pirates, with a 26-25 road record, have a season record of 52-51. They have one of the better pitching staffs in the National League, currently holding the sixth-ranked team ERA at 3.78. The Pirates have been competitive in their recent games, going 7-3 in their last ten matchups with a .258 batting average and a 2.53 ERA.

Both teams have key players in form. For the Diamondbacks, Corbin Carroll stands out with 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. Ketel Marte has also been impressive, going 14-for-35 with four home runs in his last ten games. On the Pirates' side, Oneil Cruz has been a pivotal player with 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds has hit 14-for-38 with a home run and five RBIs in his last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

For Ketel Marte of the Arizona Diamondbacks, the player prop odds for the game are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+230), Under 0.5 (-300)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+155)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-190)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-125), Under 1.5 (-105)

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Player Analysis

Ketel Marte has been a crucial player for the Diamondbacks this season. He has a batting average of .296, which is among the highest on the team. In his last ten games, Marte has been on fire, going 14-for-35 with four home runs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this game.

Marte’s performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly impressive. His slugging percentage and on-base percentage are significantly higher when facing right-handers, which bodes well for his matchup against Marco Gonzales, the Pirates' probable starting pitcher.

Given Marte's current form and favorable matchup, the prop bets for doubles, hits, and total bases appear to offer value. His odds for a home run at +400 also present a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for bettors.

Opposing Analysis

Marco Gonzales, the probable starting pitcher for the Pirates, has a record of 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 26.2 innings pitched. Gonzales has been solid but not overpowering, and his 1.28 WHIP indicates that he allows a fair number of base runners.

The Diamondbacks' offense has been effective at home, and they have shown the ability to score runs in bunches. Gonzales will need to be at his best to keep Marte and the rest of the Diamondbacks' lineup in check. The Pirates' bullpen has also been reliable, but the Diamondbacks' knack for late-game heroics means that Marte could still have opportunities to impact the game late.

Pitching Probables

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a balanced team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. Their team batting average of .253 ranks them 8th in the league, and they have a total of 888 hits, also ranking 8th. Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been standout performers in the lineup.

On the mound, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th. Their starting pitchers have struggled at times, but the bullpen has been a strength. The Pirates have recorded 24 saves, which is tied for 19th in the league. However, injuries to key pitchers like Bailey Falter and Jared Jones have tested their depth.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been inconsistent but have shown flashes of brilliance. Their team batting average of .232 ranks 25th, and they have scored 425 runs, ranking 23rd. Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have been their most reliable hitters.

On the pitching side, the Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 11th. Their starting rotation, led by Zac Gallen and Brandon Pfaadt, has been effective. The bullpen has also been solid, recording 26 saves, tied for 14th in the league. Injuries to key pitchers like Merrill Kelly have been a challenge, but the team has managed to stay competitive.

Team Injuries

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