MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 26 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Marlins, with a record of 59-43, are in playoff contention, while the Brewers, at 37-66, are struggling and looking to play spoiler.
In their recent performances, the Marlins have shown resilience, winning four of their last five games, including series wins against the New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles. They boast one of the best starting rotations in the league, led by their ace Trevor Rogers.
On the other hand, the Brewers' season has been challenging. They have lost four of their last five games, including a tough series against the Chicago Cubs. Despite their struggles, they have had standout performances from Freddy Peralta, who will be starting this game.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. However, playing at home gives the Brewers a slight advantage, as they look to turn their season around.
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Player Prop Odds
Nick Gordon Prop Odds:
- Batter Hits: 0.5 - Over: -110, Under: -125
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 - Over: +310, Under: -500
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 - Over: +280, Under: -425
- Batter Singles: 0.5 - Over: +145, Under: -200
- Batter Total Bases: 0.5 - Over: -110, Under: -125
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Player Analysis
Nick Gordon has been a vital player for the Miami Marlins this season. With a batting average of .249, he has contributed significantly to the team's offense. Gordon has hit 17 home runs and driven in 50 runs, showcasing his power and ability to drive in runs. He has also scored 50 runs and has a slugging percentage of .450.
Gordon's ability to hit for average and power makes him a threat in the Marlins' lineup. He has consistently performed well against right-handed pitchers, and with Freddy Peralta starting for the Brewers, Gordon will look to take advantage of this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Freddy Peralta, the Milwaukee Brewers' probable starting pitcher, has had a solid season with a 6-5 record and a 3.88 ERA. He has struck out 138 batters in 109 innings, showcasing his ability to miss bats. However, he has also allowed 14 home runs, which could be a factor against a power hitter like Nick Gordon.
The Brewers' bullpen has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.49, which ranks 26th in the league. This could provide additional opportunities for Gordon and the Marlins' offense to capitalize late in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 1-9 | 4.59 | 84 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6-5 | 3.88 | 138 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been one of the surprise teams this season, currently holding a 59-43 record. They have been led by a strong starting rotation and timely hitting. The Marlins rank 6th in the league in hits (883) and 8th in runs scored (487). Their team batting average of .254 ranks 5th in the league.
Their bullpen has also been a strength, with 35 saves, ranking 3rd in the league. Their team ERA of 3.74 is 8th best in the league, showcasing their overall pitching depth.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled this season with a 37-66 record. Offensively, they rank 29th in runs scored (362) and have a team batting average of .236, which ranks 21st in the league. Their pitching staff has also struggled, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league.
Despite these struggles, they have had standout performances from players like Freddy Peralta, who has been a bright spot in their rotation.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| DL Hall | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
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Milwaukee Brewers
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Batter Hits for Nick Gordon (-110)
Reasoning: Nick Gordon has been consistent at the plate, and with Freddy Peralta's tendency to allow home runs, Gordon should have opportunities to get hits. The Brewers' bullpen struggles also increase the likelihood of Gordon getting on base.
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