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MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Diamondbacks vs Cubs - 7/21

MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs
Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks, currently second in the NL West with a 51-48 record, are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs, who are fifth in the NL Central with a 47-53 record. The game is scheduled for Sunday at 2:20 p.m. EDT at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The Diamondbacks are bringing a four-game road winning streak into this matchup, while the Cubs are looking to bounce back from recent losses.
Chicago has a 47-53 record overall, with a 25-23 record at home. The Cubs have been dominant when they have more hits than their opponents, boasting a 34-10 record in such games. Arizona, on the other hand, is 51-48 overall and 25-24 on the road. The Diamondbacks have the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB play at .409. This game marks the sixth time these teams will face each other this season, with the Diamondbacks leading the season series 3-2.
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Odds and Betting Lines
- Moneyline: Cubs -127, Diamondbacks +107
- Over/Under: 7.5 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.97 | 104 | 1.16 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 8-2 | 2.97 | 98 | 1.11 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .409, ranking ninth in MLB. Key hitters include Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .292 batting average, 19 home runs, and 57 RBIs. Christian Walker has also been a significant contributor with 22 home runs and 68 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been solid, with key relievers stepping up in crucial situations. They have recorded 22 saves, ranking tied for 22nd in MLB.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 53 errors, ranking tied for 13th in MLB. Their defense has been reliable, supporting their pitchers effectively.
Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt will take the mound for the Diamondbacks. He has a 4-6 record with a 3.97 ERA and 104 strikeouts. Pfaadt has shown potential to dominate opposing lineups, and the Diamondbacks will rely on him to deliver a strong performance.
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs have a team batting average of .254, ranking sixth in MLB. Christopher Morel has been a standout performer with 18 home runs, while Ian Happ leads the team with 58 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been effective, recording 23 saves, ranking tied for 19th in MLB. They have several reliable arms to close out games.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 42 errors, ranking 28th in MLB. Although their defense has had its struggles, they have shown the ability to make key plays when needed.
Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga will be on the mound for the Cubs. He has an impressive 8-2 record with a 2.97 ERA and 98 strikeouts. Imanaga has been a reliable starter, consistently delivering quality outings.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | Knee | 15-Day IL |
| Blake Walston | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Drey Jameson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski | RP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Luke Little | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Cody Bellinger | OF | Finger | 10-Day IL |
| Colten Brewer | RP | Hand | 60-Day IL |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | Rib | 15-Day IL |
| Yency Almonte | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | 15-Day IL |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Julian Merryweather | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ St. Louis | L 3-4 | L |
| @ St. Louis | W 7-5 | W |
| @ St. Louis | W 6-2 | W |
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | W 2-1 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | L 3-4 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 19th | 7th |
| Starting Pitching | 11th | 26th |
| Relief Pitching | 22nd | 19th |
| Fielding | 13th | 28th |
Prediction
Pick: Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+360)
Christian Walker has been a key player for the Diamondbacks, leading the team with 22 home runs this season. With a favorable matchup against the Cubs and their struggling pitching staff, Walker has a good chance of hitting a home run. The Cubs' pitching has been inconsistent, and Walker's power at the plate makes this prop bet an attractive option.
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