MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:34:43 AM
MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Miami Marlins on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The game is scheduled to start at 12:10 p.m. EDT. The Orioles, who are currently leading the AL East with a 60-41 record, are looking to break a three-game road losing streak. On the other hand, the Marlins, who are at the bottom of the NL East with a 37-65 record, are aiming to continue their recent winning momentum.
The Orioles have been struggling on the road with a 30-19 record away from home. They have the seventh-best team batting average in MLB play at .252. The Marlins, however, have a better home record, standing at 22-33. Miami has shown prowess in games where they outhit their opponents, boasting a 27-12 record in such scenarios.
This game will be the third meeting between these two teams this season. The previous encounters have seen mixed results, with Miami winning the last two games. Baltimore's recent form has been underwhelming, going 3-7 in their last ten games with a .228 batting average and a 4.86 ERA. Conversely, the Marlins have been slightly better, with a 5-5 record in their last ten games, a .287 batting average, and a 4.14 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+185)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110)
Player Analysis
Heston Kjerstad has been a key performer for the Baltimore Orioles, offering consistent hitting power. Kjerstad's ability to get on base and contribute to the team's run tally makes him a significant player to watch. His stats have shown that he can deliver under pressure, especially in crucial games. His recent form suggests that he could be a good bet to hit over 1.5 total bases, given his slugging capability.
Opposing Analysis
Roddery Munoz, the starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins, has had a challenging season. With a 5.14 ERA and a 1-5 record, Munoz has struggled to keep opponents at bay. His WHIP of 1.39 indicates that he allows quite a few baserunners, which could play into Kjerstad's favor. The Marlins' bullpen also hasn't been stellar, which could provide additional opportunities for Kjerstad to exploit.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been a strong team this season, leading the AL East with a 60-41 record. Their hitting has been a highlight, with a team batting average of .252, ranking seventh in MLB. Key players like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been instrumental in their success. However, their pitching staff has had its ups and downs, with an ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in MLB.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NL East with a 37-65 record. Despite their overall performance, they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in games where they have more hits than their opponents. Their team batting average of .252 ranks ninth in MLB. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout player, providing both power and speed. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with an ERA of 5.14, and they have been plagued by injuries to key pitchers.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Day-to-day (elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | P | Day-to-day (shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | P | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | P | 60-Day IL (ucl sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | P | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| John Means | P | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | P | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | OF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 6-3 | W |
Prediction
Considering the form of both the player and the opposition, a good bet for this game is Heston Kjerstad to hit over 1.5 total bases. Given Munoz's struggles on the mound and Kjerstad's recent performance, this bet offers value.
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