MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:21:20 AM
MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28
Photo Credit: © Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On Sunday, July 28th, the New York Mets will face the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup has plenty at stake as the Mets currently lead the series 2-1 and both teams are in a tight race within the NL East division.
The Mets have a 55-49 record overall and are 28-27 at home. They have been efficient in games where they do not give up a home run, boasting a 25-10 record in such scenarios. Pete Alonso has been a standout for the Mets, hitting .241 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been hot lately, going 14-for-36 with a double, a triple, and two home runs over the last 10 games.
On the other hand, the Braves are 55-48 overall and 25-27 on the road. Their pitching staff has been impressive, with a collective 3.50 ERA, the second-best in the NL. Austin Riley has been leading the charge offensively for the Braves, batting .251 with 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs, and 40 RBIs. Marcell Ozuna has been on fire recently, going 13-for-35 with four home runs over the past 10 games.
This game marks the 10th time these teams have faced each other this season, with the Mets holding a slight edge at 5-4 in the season series.
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Player Prop Odds
Reynaldo Lopez to Record a Win: No: -220 | Yes: +160
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Player Analysis
Reynaldo Lopez has been a solid performer for the Braves this season, boasting a 7-4 record, a stellar 2.12 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched. He has struck out 100 batters while issuing only 36 walks and allowing 7 home runs. Lopez's ability to keep hitters off balance has been a key factor in his success this season.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets’ offense has been inconsistent, hitting .240 as a team, which ranks 18th in the league. They have scored 428 runs, placing them 21st in the MLB. While Pete Alonso and Jose Iglesias have shown flashes of brilliance, the team will need a collective effort to overcome Lopez's formidable presence on the mound.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lopez | 7-4 | 2.12 | 1.19 | 101.2 | 85 | 100 | 36 | 7 |
| D. Peterson | 5-0 | 3.14 | 1.48 | 48.2 | 49 | 36 | 23 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been solid across all aspects of the game. Their pitching staff boasts a 3.50 ERA, ranking second in the NL. They have accumulated 884 hits (9th in MLB) and scored 504 runs (5th in MLB). Defensively, they rank 3rd in the league with 70 errors. Offensively, Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna have been key contributors recently.
New York Mets
The Mets’ pitching has been their strong suit, with a team ERA of 3.52 (3rd in MLB). They have allowed 45 errors, ranking 27th in the league. Their offense, however, has struggled, ranking 18th in hits (825) and 21st in runs scored (428). Pete Alonso and Jose Iglesias will need to step up to provide the necessary firepower against the Braves.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | OF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | 15-Day IL (calf) |
| Shintaro Fujinami | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | W 3-2 (F/10) | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| @ New York | L 3-2 (F/10) | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Reynaldo Lopez to Record a Win: Yes (+160)
Given Reynaldo Lopez's stellar performance this season, coupled with the Mets' struggling offense, placing a bet on Lopez to record a win at +160 presents good value. The Braves' consistent pitching and the Mets' recent offensive struggles add to the likelihood of Lopez securing the win.
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