MLB Player Props Best Picks: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27

MLB Player Props Best Picks: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/27

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Game Summary

On Saturday, July 27, 2024, the New York Yankees (60-45) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-47) at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. The game is set to start at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Red Sox are looking to extend their three-game home winning streak, while the Yankees aim to bounce back from their recent loss against Boston.

In their last 10 games, the Red Sox have a 4-6 record, batting .297 while allowing a 5.58 ERA. They have been outscored by 12 runs during this stretch. The Yankees also hold a 4-6 record over their last 10 games, with a .258 batting average and a 4.39 ERA, being outscored by two runs.

Historically, the Red Sox have had the upper hand this season, leading the season series 5-2 against the Yankees. Both teams feature potent offenses, with Boston ranking third in MLB with a .432 slugging percentage and New York close behind at fourth with a .429 slugging percentage.

Key players to watch include Jarren Duran of the Red Sox, who has been impressive with 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs. On the other side, Juan Soto of the Yankees has been a standout performer, hitting .307 with 20 doubles, four triples, and 26 home runs.

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Player Prop Odds

For Marcus Stroman, the odds for him to record a win are:

• No: -254
• Yes: +178

Player Analysis

Marcus Stroman has been a reliable starter for the Yankees this season, boasting a 7-5 record with a 3.51 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over 110.1 innings pitched. Stroman has accumulated 83 strikeouts while allowing 47 walks and 17 home runs. His ground-ball pitching style has been effective, but he faces a tough challenge against a potent Red Sox lineup.

Opposing Analysis

The Red Sox lineup has been formidable this season, ranking third in MLB with a collective .432 slugging percentage. Key hitters like Jarren Duran, Rafael Devers, and Tyler O'Neill have been crucial to their offensive success. The Red Sox also have a balanced attack, featuring players who can hit for power and average.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marcus Stroman (NYY)	7-5	3.51	1.31	110.1	97	83	47	17
Kutter Crawford (BOS)	6-8	3.37	1.05	117.2	95	112	29	19

Team Previews

The Yankees are an impressive road team with a 33-22 record away from home. Their offense ranks third in MLB with a .258 batting average and fourth with a .429 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they have a team ERA of 3.84, ranking 13th in the league, while their defense has committed 74 errors, the second-most in MLB.

The Red Sox, with a 27-23 home record, are also strong offensively, leading MLB in runs scored with 520. They possess a .248 team batting average, ranking 12th in the league, but their .432 slugging percentage is third-best. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth, and their defense has committed 61 errors, the seventh fewest.

Team Injuries

Yankees:

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Nick Burdi	RP	Hip	60-Day IL

Red Sox:

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Liam Hendriks	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Bryan Mata	RP	Lat	60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Yankees Recent Games:

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Red Sox Recent Games:

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

Prediction

Given Marcus Stroman's recent inconsistencies and the Red Sox's potent lineup, it's a challenging scenario for him to record a win. The Red Sox have a balanced attack that can exploit Stroman's occasional control issues. Additionally, the Red Sox hitters have performed admirably against right-handed pitching this season.

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