MLB Player Props Best Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26

MLB Player Props Best Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26

Photo Credit: © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

On July 26, the Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers will face off at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins are coming off a successful stretch, boasting a 59-43 record, and are currently ranked 6th in the league for hits with 883. Their recent form includes a mix of wins and losses, but overall, they have been competitive, especially on the road with a 30-26 record.

Milwaukee Brewers, on the other hand, have struggled this season with a 37-66 record, ranking near the bottom in several categories including runs scored (362, 29th) and batting average (.236, 21st). Despite their challenges, the Brewers have shown moments of resilience, particularly in their recent games where they have managed to pull off some close wins.

This game is crucial for both teams as the Marlins look to solidify their playoff position, while the Brewers aim to salvage their season and build some momentum. The pitching matchup will feature Freddy Peralta for the Brewers, who has been solid with a 3.88 ERA and 138 strikeouts, against Trevor Rogers for the Marlins, who has struggled with a 4.59 ERA and a 1-9 record.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for William Contreras:

• Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +370, Under -600
• Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +450, Under -800
• Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +165, Under -230
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -115, Under -120
• Batter Singles (0.5): Over -130, Under -105
• Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +120, Under -160

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Player Analysis

William Contreras has been a consistent performer for the Brewers this season, with a batting average of .284, which ranks him among the top hitters on the team. Contreras has also contributed significantly in terms of power, with 16 home runs and 68 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for the Brewers in this matchup.

Contreras has shown a knack for coming through in clutch situations, and his performance will be critical for the Brewers' offense, which has struggled to produce runs consistently. His current form and season-long stats suggest that he is well-positioned to make an impact in this game against the Marlins.

Opposing Analysis

The Miami Marlins' pitching staff has been solid overall, with a team ERA of 3.74, which ranks them 8th in the league. However, Trevor Rogers has had his struggles this season, with a 4.59 ERA and a 1-9 record. The Marlins' bullpen has been reliable, with 35 saves ranking them 3rd in the league, but they will need a strong start from Rogers to contain the Brewers' lineup.

On the hitting side, the Marlins have been effective, ranking 5th in batting average at .254 and 8th in runs scored with 487. They will look to take advantage of any mistakes made by the Brewers' pitching staff and provide run support for Rogers.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Trevor Rogers (MIA)	1-9	4.59	84
Freddy Peralta (MIL)	6-5	3.88	138

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins have been solid across various aspects of the game. Their hitting has been a strong point, ranking 6th in hits (883) and 5th in batting average (.254). The Marlins' pitching staff has also been effective, with a team ERA of 3.74 and 35 saves, which ranks them 3rd in the league.

Defensively, the Marlins have committed 54 errors, placing them tied for 14th in the league. They will need to maintain their defensive discipline to support their pitchers and minimize scoring opportunities for the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled in several areas this season. Their offense has been a weak point, with only 362 runs scored (29th) and a batting average of .236 (21st). The Brewers' pitching staff has also faced challenges, with a team ERA of 4.49 (26th) and only 20 saves (27th).

Defensively, the Brewers have committed 71 errors, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They will need to improve their defensive performance to give their pitchers a better chance of containing the Marlins' offense.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
R. Weathers	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
J. Simpson	RP	Tue, Jul 23	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
J. Ross	SP	Thu, Jul 25	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
D. Williams	RP	Thu, Jul 25	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
D. Hall	SP	Thu, Jul 25	Knee	Expected to be out until at least Aug 6

Recent Games

Miami Marlins Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York	W 6-4	W
vs New York	L 1-0	L
vs New York	W 4-2	W
vs New York	L 6-4	L
vs Baltimore	W 6-3	W

Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Minnesota	W 8-4 F/12	W
@ Minnesota	W 8-7	W
@ Chicago	L 3-1	L
@ Chicago	W 1-0	W
@ Chicago	W 3-2	W

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Prediction

Given William Contreras' consistent performance this season and his ability to drive in runs, the player prop bet on him to get over 1.5 total bases at +120 odds looks promising. Contreras has a solid batting average and has been a key contributor to the Brewers' offense. With Trevor Rogers' struggles on the mound for the Marlins, Contreras has a good chance to exceed 1.5 total bases in this game.

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