MLB Player Props Best Picks: Dodgers vs Astros 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:52:32 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off against the Houston Astros on July 28, 2023, at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The Dodgers, with a current record of 55-49, are looking to bounce back after a couple of tough losses. The Astros, on the other hand, have been in strong form with a record of 62-44, making them a formidable opponent at home.
In their last matchup, the Astros edged out the Dodgers in a closely contested game, winning 7-6. Historically, these two teams have had intense battles, and this game promises to be another exciting encounter. The Dodgers will be relying on their batting lineup, which has been one of the best in the league, ranking 2nd in hits and batting average. The Astros, known for their power hitting, rank 2nd in runs scored and 5th in batting average.
Recent performances and injuries will play a significant role in this game. The Dodgers will be without key relief pitchers Michael Grove and Brusdar Graterol, while the Astros have lost Bennett Sousa for the season. Both teams will need to bring their A-game to secure a win in this crucial matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the odds for Austin Barnes:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +370
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -190
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +195
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +110
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: -125
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +155
Player Analysis
Austin Barnes has been a reliable player for the Dodgers this season. While he may not be the most prolific hitter, he has a knack for coming up with crucial hits in key moments. Barnes has shown an ability to get on base, and his batting average in clutch situations is commendable.
This season, Barnes has managed to maintain a respectable batting average, and his on-base percentage has been a key factor in the Dodgers' offensive strategies. Given the odds, betting on Barnes to get over 0.5 hits at -190 seems like a viable option, considering his consistency at the plate.
Opposing Analysis
The Astros' pitching staff has been quite effective this season, with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th in the league. However, they have shown vulnerabilities, especially against disciplined hitters who can work the count. The Astros will be starting River Ryan, who has shown promise but is relatively inexperienced at the major league level.
Ryan's ERA of 0.00 is impressive, but with only 5.1 innings pitched, he is yet to face a lineup as potent as the Dodgers. This could be an opportunity for Barnes to capitalize and get on base.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable starting pitchers for tonight's game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| River Ryan (HOU) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 2 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (LAD) | 4-8 | 5.65 | 96 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers boast one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 2nd in hits and batting average. Their ability to generate runs has been a defining feature of their season. However, their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.98, ranks 15th in the league, showing room for improvement.
Defensively, the Dodgers have struggled with errors, ranking 29th in the league. This could be an area of concern against a team like the Astros, who are known for capitalizing on defensive lapses.
Houston Astros
The Astros' hitting has been exceptional, ranking 2nd in runs scored and 5th in batting average. Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve have been standout performers, leading the team in home runs and batting average, respectively.
Their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.77, has been solid, and their bullpen has been reliable, ranking 4th in saves. Defensively, the Astros have been average, ranking 19th in errors, but their ability to score runs often compensates for defensive shortcomings.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | RP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Houston Astros
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Sousa | RP | Shoulder | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Austin Barnes Over 0.5 Hits (-190)
Given Austin Barnes' consistency and the relative inexperience of the Astros' starting pitcher River Ryan, betting on Barnes to get over 0.5 hits at -190 is a solid pick. Barnes has been reliable in getting on base, and this matchup presents a good opportunity for him to continue that trend.
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