MLB Player Props Best Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:49:32 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs (50-56, fifth in the NL Central) will face the Kansas City Royals (57-48, third in the AL Central) in a crucial matchup at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 PM EDT. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they aim for a better position in their respective divisions.
The Cubs have struggled on the road this season, with a 23-31 record away from home. However, they have a solid record when hitting multiple home runs in a game, standing at 20-6. Recent performance has been a mixed bag for Chicago, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .219 batting average and 3.24 ERA. Key players like Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki have shown glimpses of brilliance, with Suzuki going 12-for-37 with two home runs in his last 10 games.
The Royals, on the other hand, have been strong at home, boasting a 36-21 record at Kauffman Stadium. They come into this game with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, hitting .282 as a team and posting a 3.89 ERA. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer, hitting .342 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs. Vinnie Pasquantino has also contributed, going 13-for-39 with five RBIs in his last 10 games.
This game will be the third meeting between these two teams this season, with the series currently tied at one game apiece. The winner of this game will claim the series victory, adding extra stakes to an already intriguing matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
Seiya Suzuki has several player props available for this game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+210)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100)
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Player Analysis
Seiya Suzuki has been a consistent performer for the Chicago Cubs this season. He has a batting average of .271 and has hit 18 home runs with 60 RBIs. In his last 10 games, Suzuki has been in great form, going 12-for-37 with two doubles, two home runs, and six RBIs. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a key player for the Cubs in this matchup.
Suzuki's prop odds for doubles (+280) and hits (+210) offer great value, given his recent form. His odds for RBIs (+155) and runs scored (-115) also present good opportunities, as he has shown the ability to drive in runs and score frequently. The odds for singles (-125) and total bases (+100) are also worth considering, given his ability to get on base and hit for extra bases.
Opposing Analysis
Kansas City's starting pitcher, Cole Ragans, has been solid this season, with a 7-6 record, a 3.23 ERA, and 146 strikeouts. Ragans has been particularly effective at home, where the Royals have a strong 36-21 record. However, the Cubs' lineup, led by Suzuki, will look to challenge Ragans and the Royals' pitching staff.
The Royals' bullpen has been reliable, but Suzuki's recent form and ability to hit for power and average make him a threat to any pitcher. Kansas City's defense will need to be on point to contain Suzuki and the rest of the Cubs' hitters.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 81 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 146 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have been inconsistent this season, with a 50-56 overall record and a 23-31 record on the road. Their team batting average is .232, ranking 26th in MLB, and they have scored 424 runs, ranking 24th. Despite these struggles, they have shown the ability to hit home runs, with a 20-6 record in games where they hit at least two home runs.
The Cubs' pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in MLB. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 23 saves, and they have committed 53 errors, ranking 17th in MLB. Key players like Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki will need to step up to provide the offensive support needed to win games.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have been strong at home this season, with a 36-21 record at Kauffman Stadium. They have a team batting average of .251, ranking 10th in MLB, and have scored 483 runs, ranking 10th. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer, hitting .342 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs.
The Royals' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 7th in MLB. Cole Ragans has been a key contributor, with a 7-6 record and a 3.23 ERA. The Royals' bullpen has been reliable, and they have committed 49 errors, ranking 23rd in MLB. Their defense and pitching will need to be on point to contain the Cubs' hitters.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps - Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| MJ Melendez | C | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Kyle Wright | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Tomas Nido | C | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Ben Brown | RP | 60-Day IL (neck) |
| Luke Little | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Hayden Wesneski | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jordan Wicks | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Cody Bellinger | CF | 10-Day IL (finger) |
| Colten Brewer | RP | 60-Day IL (hand) |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | 15-Day IL (rib) |
| Yency Almonte | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 (F/10) | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W 10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L 6-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki has been in excellent form recently, and with the odds for over 1.5 total bases at +100, this prop offers great value. Suzuki has consistently hit for power and average, making him a threat to get multiple hits or an extra-base hit in this game. Given his recent performance and the Cubs' need for offensive production, backing Suzuki to accumulate at least two total bases is a solid pick.
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