```html MLB Player Props Best Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

MLB Player Props Best Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs (51-56, fourth in the NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (50-55, fifth in the NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. This game marks the beginning of a three-game series between the two clubs. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in the tightly contested NL Central division. The Reds currently lead the season series 5-2 and will aim to extend their dominance over the Cubs.

In their recent outings, the Reds have displayed a mixed form, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .202 batting average and a 3.98 ERA. However, they have been competitive, maintaining an even run differential. Their performance at home has been decent, with a 25-28 record at Great American Ball Park. Key player Spencer Steer has been a consistent performer with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs, hitting .237 for the season.

The Cubs, meanwhile, have been slightly better in their last 10 games, posting a 5-5 record with a .219 batting average and a 3.00 ERA. They have outscored their opponents by three runs during this stretch. Despite their overall road struggles, they have shown promise in games where the long ball is a factor, boasting a 20-6 record when hitting at least two home runs. Ian Happ and Patrick Wisdom have been key contributors, with Happ leading the team with 40 extra-base hits and Wisdom hitting three home runs with six RBIs in the last 10 games.

Both teams are dealing with injuries, which could play a significant role in the outcome of this series. The Reds have several players on the IL, including Brent Suter, Carson Spiers, Nick Martini, and Graham Ashcraft, among others. The Cubs are also missing key players like Tomas Nido, Ben Brown, Luke Little, and Cody Bellinger.

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Player Prop Odds

For the game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, here are the player prop odds for Isaac Paredes:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-195)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+460)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)

Player Analysis

Isaac Paredes has been a standout performer for the Cubs this season. He has consistently demonstrated his ability to get on base and drive in runs. With a batting average of .268, Paredes has proven to be a reliable hitter in the Cubs lineup. His power numbers are also impressive, with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs so far this season.

When analyzing his recent form, Paredes has been in good touch. Over the last 10 games, he has managed to get multiple hits in several outings, contributing significantly to the Cubs' offense. Given his ability to hit for power and average, betting on Paredes to get at least one hit seems like a safe bet. The odds of -195 for Paredes to record over 0.5 hits might not provide a huge return, but it is a solid option for those looking for a safer wager.

Opposing Analysis

On the mound for the Reds is Carson Spiers, who will be making his first start of the season. Spiers has shown promise, but his inexperience at the major league level could play into the hands of seasoned hitters like Paredes. The Reds' pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.72, ranking them 6th in the league, but their bullpen has had moments of struggle, especially against teams with power hitters.

The Cubs’ offense, which has been inconsistent, will look to capitalize on Spiers' inexperience. The Reds have had issues with giving up home runs this season, and with Paredes' power, the +460 odds for him to hit a home run could be an enticing high-risk, high-reward bet.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jameson Taillon	Cubs	7-5	2.96	78
Carson Spiers	Reds	0-0	N/A	N/A

Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs are currently 51-56, sitting fourth in the NL Central. They have struggled on the road with a 24-31 record but have shown flashes of brilliance when their offense clicks. The Cubs' offense ranks 28th in hits (785) and 15th in runs (460), with a team batting average of .228. They have a respectable 3.83 ERA, ranking them 11th in the league, and their pitching staff has been a bright spot in an otherwise disappointing season.

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-55 and are fifth in the NL Central. They have a slightly better home record (25-28) compared to their overall performance. The Reds' offense ranks Tied-22nd in hits (830) and 22nd in runs (440), with a team batting average of .233. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a 3.72 ERA, ranking them 6th in the league. However, their bullpen has had issues with consistency, which could be a factor in this series.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Caleb Kilian	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Luke Maile	C	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Austin Wynns	C	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Graham Ashcraft	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
Carson Spiers	SP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Kansas City	W7-3	W
@ Kansas City	W9-4	W
@ Kansas City	L6-0	L
vs Milwaukee	L3-2	L
vs Milwaukee	L1-0	L

Cincinnati Reds Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Tampa Bay	L2-1	L
@ Tampa Bay	L4-0	L
@ Tampa Bay	W3-2 F/10	W
@ Atlanta	W9-4	W
@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed

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