MLB Player Props Best Picks: Braves vs Brewers 7/29
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:44:17 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29
Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (56-48) are set to face the Milwaukee Brewers (60-45) at American Family Field on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. This marks the beginning of a three-game series between the two teams, and the matchup promises to be an exciting one. The Brewers, who are first in the NL Central, have been strong at home with a 30-19 record. They have an impressive 44-4 record when they out-hit their opponents, showcasing their ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities.
On the other hand, the Braves are second in the NL East and have a 26-27 record on the road. Despite their struggles away from home, Braves pitchers have maintained a collective ERA of 3.48, which ranks second in the NL. This will be the first meeting between the teams this season, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the series opener.
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Player Prop Odds
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Willy Adames - Batter Props:
- Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425) / Under 0.5 (-800)
- Hits: Over 0.5 (-175) / Under 0.5 (+130)
- Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450) / Under 0.5 (-900)
- RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180) / Under 0.5 (-255)
- Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+145) / Under 0.5 (-195)
- Singles: Over 0.5 (+120) / Under 0.5 (-165)
- Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-175) / Under 0.5 (+130)
Player Analysis
Willy Adames has been a consistent performer for the Brewers this season, with a batting average of .254, 14 home runs, and 42 RBI. Over the last 10 games, Adames has been especially productive, going 7-for-32 with a double and three home runs. His ability to come through in clutch situations makes him a key player to watch in this series.
Opposing Analysis
Adames will be facing Braves' pitcher Grant Holmes, who has a 2.70 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in 23.1 innings pitched this season. Holmes has been effective at limiting hits and runs, allowing only 17 hits and no home runs so far. This will be a challenging matchup for Adames, but his recent form suggests he can still make an impact.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 0-0 | 2.70 | 0.94 | 21 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 9-3 | 3.60 | 1.21 | 84 |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been solid both offensively and defensively this season. They rank 7th in the league with 907 hits and have scored 498 runs, placing them 9th overall. Their team batting average stands at .254, which is 5th in the league. On the pitching side, they have a collective ERA of 3.74, ranking 7th, and have recorded 35 saves, making them 3rd in this category. However, their defense has been average with 55 errors, ranking 16th.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have also shown strength this season, particularly in their pitching. They have a team ERA of 3.47, ranking 3rd in the league. Offensively, they have accumulated 839 hits and 441 runs, ranking 19th and 21st, respectively. The team batting average is .239, which is also 19th. They have had some defensive struggles, with 45 errors, ranking 27th.
Team Injuries
| Team | Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | Reynaldo Lopez | SP | Forearm | Day-to-day |
| Braves | Michael Harris II | OF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Brewers | Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | 15-Day IL |
| Brewers | Christian Yelich | OF | Back | 10-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 F/10 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 4-1 | L |
| @ New York | 8-4 | L |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | 8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Based on Willy Adames' recent form and the pitching matchup, there is value in betting on Adames to record a hit. The odds for Adames to get Over 0.5 hits are -175, which indicates a high probability. Given Adames' current hitting streak and the Braves' pitching statistics, it is reasonable to expect Adames to continue his strong performance.
Pick: Willy Adames Over 0.5 Hits (-175)
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