MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27

Mr Wager
Jul 27, 2024, 8:36:05 AM

MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game, scheduled for a 4:10 p.m. EDT start, is a crucial National League East matchup. The Braves, currently holding a 54-48 record, are in third place in the division and are desperate to end their six-game losing streak. On the other hand, the Mets, with a 55-48 record, sit in second place in the NL East and have been playing solid baseball, particularly at home where they hold a 28-26 record.

Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand in this season series, leading 5-3 in their head-to-head matchups. The Mets have been efficient in games where they've managed to score five or more runs, boasting a 38-15 record in such situations. In recent games, the Mets have been in better form, going 7-3 in their last 10 games with a .243 batting average and a 3.64 ERA. Conversely, the Braves have struggled, going 3-7 with a .223 batting average and a 4.54 ERA over the same span.

Both teams have key players performing well. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor has been a standout with 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage. Jose Iglesias has also been hot, going 17-for-37 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, and five RBIs in his last 10 games. The Braves' offense is led by Marcell Ozuna, who has a .308 batting average, 20 doubles, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs. Travis d'Arnaud has also contributed, going 11-for-31 with two home runs and eight RBIs in his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

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Here are the player prop odds for Austin Riley:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+470)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)

Player Analysis

Austin Riley has been a key player for the Braves this season. He has consistently demonstrated his ability to hit for power and average. As of the latest stats, Riley is hitting .257 with 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. His slugging percentage stands at .480, indicating that he is capable of driving the ball for extra bases. In his last 10 games, Riley has shown a solid performance, contributing significantly to the Braves' offense.

Riley's recent form has been impressive, and he has a favorable matchup against the Mets' pitching staff. His ability to hit both right-handed and left-handed pitchers makes him a versatile threat in the Braves' lineup. With the Braves looking to end their losing streak, Riley's performance will be crucial in providing the offensive spark the team needs.

Opposing Analysis

For the Mets, Tylor Megill will be taking the mound. Megill has had a challenging season so far, with a 2-4 record, a 5.08 ERA, and a 1.44 WHIP over 39 innings pitched. He has allowed 37 hits and 19 walks while striking out 49 batters. Megill's struggles with consistency and control have been evident, and he will need to be at his best to contain the Braves' powerful lineup.

The Mets' bullpen has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 3.52, which ranks third in the league. However, the Braves' hitters, including Riley, have the ability to exploit any mistakes made by the Mets' pitchers. With Riley's power and Megill's tendency to allow home runs, this matchup could be favorable for Riley to hit the over on several of his player props.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-5	4.62	1.16	50.2	49	49	10	7
Tylor Megill (NYM)	2-4	5.08	1.44	39.0	37	49	19	3

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have had a mixed season with a 54-48 record. Their offensive stats are impressive, ranking 5th in runs (504) and 9th in hits (884). Their team batting average is .249, ranking 11th. In terms of pitching, their team ERA is 4.15, ranking 21st, and they have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. The Braves' relief pitching has been effective, with 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league.

New York Mets

The Mets have a 55-48 record and have been strong offensively and defensively. They rank 21st in runs (428) and 18th in hits (825) with a team batting average of .240, ranking 18th. Their pitching staff has been stellar, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. The Mets have also committed only 45 errors, ranking 27th. Their relief pitching has been reliable, with 26 saves, ranking 14th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	Fri, Jul 26	Calf	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	60-Day IL	Shoulder	Out
Dedniel Nunez	RP	Fri, Jul 26	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
Harrison Bader	CF	Fri, Jul 26	Ankle	Probable for Jul 27
Christian Scott	RP	15-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Reed Garrett	RP	15-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Drew Smith	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Brooks Raley	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Starling Marte	RF	10-Day IL	Knee	Out
Sean Reid-Foley	RP	15-Day IL	Shoulder	Out
Ronny Mauricio	SS	60-Day IL	Knee	Out
Michael Harris II	CF	60-Day IL	Hamstring	Out
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL	Wrist	Out
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL	Forearm	Out
Raymond Kerr	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Spencer Strider	SP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Hurston Waldrep	SP	15-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Huascar Ynoa	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Ronald Acuna Jr.	RF	60-Day IL	Knee	Out
Jimmy Herget	RP	15-Day IL	Shoulder	Out
Tyler Matzek	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out
Angel Perdomo	RP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out