MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/25
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:46:43 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/25
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Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on Thursday, July 25th, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves are currently on a four-game losing streak, bringing their overall record to 54-46, and they stand second in the NL East. On the other hand, the Mets hold a 53-48 record, placing them third in the same division.
Recent performances show that the Mets have a balanced home record of 26-26 and have excelled in games where they hit at least two home runs, boasting a 26-10 record in such scenarios. Meanwhile, the Braves have struggled on the road with a 24-25 record. The season series between these two teams is tied at 3-3, suggesting a competitive matchup.
Notable players for the Braves include Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team with 48 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs. Over the last 10 games, Travis d'Arnaud has been impressive, going 10-for-27 with two home runs and seven RBIs. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor leads with a .259 batting average, 21 home runs, and 60 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been hot recently, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs in the past 10 games.
Both teams have faced injuries, with the Braves missing key players like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II. The Mets are also dealing with several injuries, including Harrison Bader and Starling Marte.
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Player Prop Odds
Jarred Kelenic:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
Jarred Kelenic has been a standout performer for the Seattle Mariners this season. In 87 games, Kelenic has posted a .245 batting average with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs. His aggressive approach at the plate has resulted in a solid power-hitting season, as evidenced by his high slugging percentage. Kelenic's ability to hit for power and average makes him a consistent threat in the Mariners' lineup.
Despite the team's struggles, Kelenic has been a bright spot, contributing significantly to Seattle's offense. His recent form has shown promise, making him a strong candidate for player prop bets, especially in categories like home runs and total bases.
Opposing Analysis
When analyzing Kelenic's potential performance, it's essential to consider the opposing pitchers. The Atlanta Braves will likely start Chris Sale, a seasoned left-hander with a 13-3 record, 2.70 ERA, and 140 strikeouts over 110 innings. Sale has been dominant this season, making him a challenging opponent for any hitter.
However, left-handed hitters like Kelenic can find success against Sale if they can capitalize on his occasional struggles with control. Sale has allowed 24 walks and 7 home runs this season, providing opportunities for power hitters like Kelenic to make an impact.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 140 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 88 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have had a mixed season, currently standing at 54-46 overall. Their offensive performance has been solid, with a team batting average of .251, 873 hits, and 493 runs scored. However, their pitching has been a weak point, with a team ERA of 4.18, ranking 20th in the league.
Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking third in the league. Their relief pitching has been a strength, with 28 saves, placing them 9th in MLB. Key injuries to players like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Spencer Strider have impacted their performance, but the team remains competitive.
New York Mets
The Mets have had a slightly better season, with a 53-48 record. Offensively, they have struggled at times, with a team batting average of .241 and 422 runs scored, ranking 22nd in the league. However, their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in MLB.
Defensively, the Mets have made 42 errors, ranking 29th in the league. Their relief pitching has been reliable, with 26 saves, placing them 13th in MLB. Injuries to key players like Harrison Bader and Starling Marte have been a challenge, but the team has shown resilience.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | Knee | 60-Day IL |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Day-to-Day |
| Starling Marte | RF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Christian Scott | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | 4-6 | L |
| @ Miami | 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | 2-4 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Jarred Kelenic's recent form and his propensity to hit for power, the best prop bet for this game is Over 0.5 Home Runs (+440). While Chris Sale presents a challenging matchup, Kelenic's ability to capitalize on mistakes could lead to a home run in this game.
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