MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 07/28

MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 07/28

Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 28 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This matchup features two strong teams from the National League East, both vying for a crucial win in the heat of the playoff race. The Braves come into this game with a solid record of 55-49, while the Mets are slightly ahead at 55-48. Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups, with each team looking to gain the upper hand as the season progresses.

In their most recent performances, the Braves have been struggling, losing four of their last five games, including a tough 8-4 loss to the Mets on July 26. The Mets, on the other hand, have been slightly more successful, winning four of their last five games. This gives them a slight edge heading into this contest, especially with home-field advantage at Citi Field.

Both teams have had their share of injuries, but the Mets have been hit harder with significant absences, including star pitcher Kodai Senga, who is out for the season with a calf injury. However, the Braves are not without their own challenges, with key player Whit Merrifield expected to be out until at least August 1 due to a finger injury. With both teams facing adversity, this game promises to be a closely contested battle.

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Player Prop Odds

For tonight's game, we are focusing on Jarred Kelenic's player prop odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-195)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+490)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

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Player Analysis

Jarred Kelenic has been a pivotal player for the Mets this season. He has shown consistent improvement in his batting, making him a valuable asset in their lineup. Kelenic currently holds a batting average of .254 and has managed 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been crucial for the Mets' offense.

Kelenic's recent form has been impressive, with multiple hits in several of his last few games. He has shown a knack for hitting doubles and singles, making the Over 0.5 Hits and Over 0.5 Singles props appealing. Additionally, Kelenic's speed on the base paths makes the Over 0.5 Stolen Bases prop an interesting long shot bet at +490 odds.

Opposing Analysis

The Braves' pitching staff will be led by David Peterson, who has a record of 5-0 with a 3.14 ERA. While Peterson has been effective, he has shown vulnerability against hitters like Kelenic, who can exploit his pitching style. Peterson's WHIP of 1.48 indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could play into Kelenic's favor.

The Braves' bullpen has been solid but not impenetrable, ranking 9th in saves with a 4.15 ERA. This suggests that while they have the ability to close out games, they are not immune to giving up runs, especially against a potent Mets lineup.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Reynaldo Lopez (NYM)	7-4	2.12	100
David Peterson (ATL)	5-0	3.14	36

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been strong this season, with notable statistics including 884 hits (9th in MLB) and 504 runs (5th in MLB). Their batting average of .249 places them 11th overall. Despite their offensive prowess, their pitching staff has been less consistent, with an ERA of 4.15 (21st in MLB).

New York Mets

The Mets have shown resilience, recording 825 hits and a batting average of .240 (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has been more reliable than the Braves, with an ERA of 3.52 (3rd in MLB). This strong pitching has been a key factor in their success this season.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Whit Merrifield	LF	Sat, Jul 27	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Harrison Bader	CF	Sat, Jul 27	Ankle	Probable for Jul 28
Kodai Senga	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Calf	Out for the season

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs St. Louis	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	W3-2 F/10	54-42	Johnson 3-1	Roycroft 1-2	NaN	37042
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	L9-5	54-43	Gray 10-6	Elder 1-4	Leahy 1	42168
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	L6-2	54-44	Mikolas 8-8	Schwellenbach 3-5	NaN	36348
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	L4-1	54-45	Greene 7-4	Lopez 7-4	NaN	38779

New York Mets

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Miami	L6-4	49-47	Bender 4-2	Manaea 6-4	Scott 15	16542
Sat, Jul 20	@ Miami	W1-0	50-47	Severino 7-3	Munoz 1-5	Diaz 11	21902
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	L4-2	50-48	Cronin 2-2	Scott 0-3	Scott 16	19418
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	W6-4	51-48	Peterson 5-0	Chirinos 0-2	Diaz 12	13068
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	W3-2	52-48	Quintana 5-6	Tonkin 3-4	Diekman 4	47453

Prediction

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