MLB Player Props Best Bets: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:36:38 AM
MLB Player Props Best Bets: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/27
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will take on the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday, July 27th, 2024, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The game is set to start at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals currently lead the series 1-0 after a thrilling 10-8 victory in extra innings in the first game. This win improved their record to 48-56, placing them fourth in the NL East, while the Cardinals sit at 53-50, holding second place in the NL Central. St. Louis has a decent home record of 26-23, but Washington has been competitive on the road with a 25-29 record.
Historically, the Cardinals have the upper hand in the current season series, leading 3-2 against the Nationals. St. Louis has been hitting well, with a collective batting average of .245, ranking eighth in the National League. On the other hand, the Nationals have shown resilience, especially in games where they score five or more runs, boasting a 34-13 record in such scenarios.
Top performers for the Cardinals include Alec Burleson, who leads the team with a .288 batting average, and Masyn Winn, who has been impressive in the last 10 games with a .295 average, two home runs, and six RBIs. For the Nationals, Luis Garcia has been a standout with 18 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 48 RBIs, while Juan Yepez has been hot recently, going 16-for-38 with five doubles and two home runs over the last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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Keibert Ruiz Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145)
Player Analysis
Keibert Ruiz has been an integral part of the Washington Nationals' lineup. The young catcher has shown promising potential with his bat, contributing significantly in key moments. Ruiz's ability to make contact and his plate discipline make him a threat in any at-bat. His season statistics indicate that he can be relied upon to get on base and drive in runs. Ruiz is currently batting .265 with 8 home runs and 31 RBIs. His recent form has been encouraging, as he has been making consistent contact and finding gaps in the defense.
Opposing Analysis
Ruiz will be facing Kyle Gibson of the St. Louis Cardinals. Gibson has had a solid season with a 7-3 record, a 3.99 ERA, and 102 strikeouts in 108.1 innings pitched. While Gibson has been effective, he has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters, allowing a .272 batting average against them. Moreover, Gibson's WHIP of 1.32 indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could play into Ruiz's strengths.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Irvin (WAS) | 7-8 | 3.44 | 1.09 | 123.0 | 105 | 106 | 29 | 16 |
| K. Gibson (STL) | 7-3 | 3.99 | 1.32 | 108.1 | 100 | 102 | 43 | 13 |
Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have a balanced lineup with key contributors like Luis Garcia and Juan Yepez. Garcia has been effective with 18 doubles and 48 RBIs, while Yepez's recent form has been impressive. The team's batting average stands at .245, ranking 14th in the league. On the pitching side, Jake Irvin has been a reliable starter with a 3.44 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 123 innings. The bullpen, led by closer Kyle Finnegan, has accumulated 37 saves, tying for first in the league.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals' offense is spearheaded by Alec Burleson, who leads the team with a .288 batting average and 60 RBIs. Nolan Gorman provides power with 19 home runs. The team batting average of .237 ranks 19th in the league. On the mound, Kyle Gibson has been a steady presence with a 3.99 ERA and 102 strikeouts. The bullpen has also been solid, with 29 saves, ranking 8th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Winning Pitcher | Losing Pitcher | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W8-5 | 45-53 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W5-4 | 46-53 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L4-0 | 47-54 | Vasquez 3-5 | Herz 1-4 | NaN | 20749 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L12-3 | 47-55 | Waldron 6-9 | Parker 5-6 | NaN | 23323 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs San Diego | L3-0 | 47-56 | Cease 10-8 | Corbin 2-10 | NaN | 20755 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ St. Louis | W10-8 F/10 | 48-56 | Barnes 6-2 | Fernandez 1-3 | NaN | 41382 |
Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Given Keibert Ruiz's recent form and his ability to make consistent contact, betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases at +145 odds presents good value. Facing Kyle Gibson, who has been susceptible to left-handed batters, Ruiz has a favorable matchup to accumulate multiple bases in this game.
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