MLB Player Props Best Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:55:18 AM
MLB Player Props Best Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field in Phoenix on Friday, July 26th, at 9:40 PM EDT to kick off a three-game series. Both teams have been performing relatively well, with the Diamondbacks holding a 53-50 record and the Pirates being slightly ahead at 53-50. The Diamondbacks have been solid at home with a 26-24 record at Chase Field, whereas the Pirates have also shown strength on the road with a 26-24 record away from home.
Arizona's lineup has been powered by Christian Walker, who leads the team with 43 extra-base hits, including 23 home runs. Ketel Marte has also been impressive, going 15-for-36 with four home runs and 12 RBIs over the past ten games. On the other hand, the Pirates have received notable contributions from Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz. Joe has accumulated 18 doubles, seven home runs, and 30 RBIs, while Cruz has gone 12-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs over the past ten games.
Both teams have been in good form recently. The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last ten games, posting a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA while outscoring their opponents by 17 runs. The Pirates have an 8-2 record over their last ten games, boasting a .256 batting average and an impressive 2.10 ERA while outscoring their opponents by 16 runs. This matchup promises to be an exciting one with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in their respective divisions.
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Player Prop Odds
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Nick Gonzales Prop Odds:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
Player Analysis
Nick Gonzales has been a consistent performer for the Pirates this season. He has demonstrated an ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense in various ways. Gonzales is currently hitting .250 with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. His recent form has been promising as well, with multiple hits in several of his last games, making him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Diamondbacks.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Gonzales will be Zac Gallen, who has been a solid pitcher for the Diamondbacks this season. Gallen holds a 7-5 record with a 3.64 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. He has struck out 80 batters over 81.2 innings pitched. While Gallen has been effective overall, he has shown some vulnerability, particularly against teams with strong hitting. The Pirates' offense, which has been in good form recently, will look to exploit any weaknesses and put pressure on Gallen early in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 73.2 | 61 | 59 | 21 | 3 |
| Z. Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 1.25 | 81.2 | 75 | 80 | 27 | 8 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been solid this season with a 53-50 record. Their offense ranks 8th in hits and 3rd in runs, boasting a team batting average of .252. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league. Key players like Oneil Cruz and Connor Joe have been instrumental in their success, and they will look to continue their strong performances against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have a 53-50 record and are tied for 17th in wins. Their offense has been steady, with a team batting average of .232 and ranking 25th in hits. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 11th in the league. Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have led the offensive charge, and they will need to be at their best to overcome the Pirates' pitching.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and their respective strengths, the Pirates' offense seems well-equipped to challenge Gallen. With Nick Gonzales showing consistency at the plate, the prop bet for him to score over 0.5 runs at +110 odds stands out as a favorable option. Gonzales has been getting on base frequently, and with the Pirates' strong batting lineup, he has a good chance of crossing the plate.
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