MLB Player Props Best Bets: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/26

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:15:58 AM
MLB Player Props Best Bets: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/26
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Game Summary
The New York Yankees (60-44, second in the AL East) will visit the Boston Red Sox (54-47, third in the AL East) to start a three-game series at Fenway Park on Friday, July 26, 2024. The game is set to begin at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Yankees have been solid on the road with a 33-21 record, while the Red Sox have had a slightly better performance at home, holding a 24-25 record.
Recent matchups have seen the Red Sox taking a slight edge, leading the season series 4-2. Both teams have had a mixed bag of results in their last ten games, each going 4-6. The Yankees have a collective .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors, while the Red Sox are not far behind in the power department, ranking fourth in the AL with 121 home runs so far this season.
The Yankees will send Nestor Cortes Jr. (4-9, 3.99 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 111 strikeouts) to the mound, while the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 92 strikeouts). The game is expected to be a closely contested affair with the Yankees slightly favored (-129) over the Red Sox (+108), and the over/under set at 9.5 runs.
Key performers for the Yankees include Juan Soto, who has been outstanding with a .311 average, 26 home runs, 82 walks, and 72 RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also been heating up with two home runs and three RBIs in his last ten games. For the Red Sox, Jarren Duran has been a standout with 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, while Tyler O'Neill has been clutch recently with four home runs in his last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
For Juan Soto, the following player prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+265)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+320)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-120)
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Player Analysis
Juan Soto has been a cornerstone for the Yankees this season. His batting average of .311 is among the best in the league, and his 26 home runs and 72 RBIs make him a constant threat at the plate. Soto’s plate discipline is exceptional, as evidenced by his 82 walks, which consistently puts him in a position to score or drive in runs. His recent performances have shown no signs of slowing down, making him a vital player to watch in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Brayan Bello will be taking the mound for the Red Sox. Despite his 10-5 record, his 5.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP indicate that he has struggled to keep runners off base. Bello has allowed 104 hits in 95.2 innings pitched, which bodes well for a disciplined hitter like Soto. Given Bello’s propensity to give up hits and Soto’s ability to get on base, this could be a favorable matchup for the Yankees' slugger.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cortes | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 119.2 | 115 | 111 | 24 | 19 |
| B. Bello | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 95.2 | 104 | 92 | 34 | 15 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been strong this season with a 60-44 record. Their offense boasts a .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors. Key hitters include Aaron Judge, who leads the team with 35 home runs and 89 RBIs, and Juan Soto, who has a .311 batting average and 26 home runs. Their pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.80, ranking 12th in the league.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox, with a 54-47 record, have been competitive but inconsistent. Their offense is powered by Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers, with Devers leading the team in batting average (.293), home runs (23), and RBIs (63). The Red Sox pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.61, which ranks fourth in the league. However, Brayan Bello’s performance has been a concern, with a 5.27 ERA over 95.2 innings.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stanton | DH | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| N. Burdi | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Boston Red Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Casas | 1B | Thu, Jul 25 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| V. Grissom | 2B | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-1 | 59-40 | Cole | Eflin | NaN | 47036 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L9-1 | 59-41 | Bradley | Cortes | NaN | 43173 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L6-4 | 59-42 | Cleavinger | Stroman | Fairbanks | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W9-1 | 60-42 | Rodon | Littell | NaN | 40824 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L3-2 | 60-43 | Quintana | Tonkin | Diekman | 47453 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs New York | L12-3 | 60-44 | Ottavino | Cole | NaN | 48760 |
Boston Red Sox
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L4-1 | 53-43 | Yarbrough | Bernardino | Hudson | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L7-6 F/11 | 53-44 | Treinen | Weissert | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L9-6 | 53-45 | Paxton | Crawford | Hudson | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L9-8 F/12 | 53-46 | Lawrence | Horn | NaN | 35261 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W6-0 | 54-46 | Criswell | Blach | NaN | 36553 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Colorado | L20-7 | 54-47 | Quantrill | Pivetta | NaN | 36579 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Juan Soto’s impressive batting average and ability to get on base make the over 1.5 total bases a compelling pick. Given Brayan Bello’s struggles on the mound, Soto is well-positioned to exploit this matchup and potentially exceed the total bases mark.
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