MLB Player Props Best Bets: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/29

MLB Player Props Best Bets: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/29

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Seattle Mariners are set to face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Mariners are riding a three-game road win streak and currently stand at 56-51, second in the AL West. On the other hand, the Red Sox, holding a 55-49 record, are third in the AL East.

Both teams have had their ups and downs recently. The Mariners have managed a 4-6 record in their last ten games, with a notable .196 batting average and a robust 2.33 ERA, outscoring their opponents by five runs. The Red Sox, meanwhile, have struggled with a 3-7 record in their last ten games, despite a strong .295 batting average. Their pitching has been a letdown, posting a 6.51 ERA and being outscored by 21 runs.

This matchup marks the fifth meeting between these teams this season, with the series tied at 2-2. Fenway Park is expected to host a thrilling game with Logan Gilbert (6-6, 2.72 ERA) starting for the Mariners and Nick Pivetta (4-7, 4.50 ERA) taking the mound for the Red Sox.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the prop odds for Masataka Yoshida:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300), Under 0.5 (-450)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195), Under 0.5 (-275)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+140), Under 0.5 (-195)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-115)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130), Under 1.5 (-175)

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Player Analysis

Masataka Yoshida has been a consistent performer for the Red Sox this season. With a batting average of .285, Yoshida has accumulated 12 home runs and 45 RBIs. Over the past ten games, he has shown a solid form, going 14-for-32 with two doubles, three home runs, and seven RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

Logan Gilbert will be pitching for the Mariners. Gilbert has been excellent this season, boasting a 2.72 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 139 innings pitched. He has struck out 132 batters while allowing only 94 hits and 26 walks. The Red Sox's offense will have a tough task ahead of them, especially considering their recent struggles against quality pitching.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Logan Gilbert (SEA)	6-6	2.72	0.86	132
Nick Pivetta (BOS)	4-7	4.50	1.18	102

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Team Previews

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have been solid overall, with a 56-51 record. Offensively, they rank 3rd in hits (931) and batting average (.258), and 8th in runs scored (499). Their pitching staff has managed a respectable 3.91 ERA, ranking 13th in the league.

On the defensive side, they have committed 78 errors, which is the most in the league. However, their relief pitching has been reliable, with 27 saves, ranking 11th. Julio Rodriguez has been a standout performer, hitting .297 with 23 home runs and 64 RBIs.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have struggled offensively, ranking last in hits (761) and 29th in batting average (.218). Their 412 runs scored place them 28th in the league. Despite these struggles, their pitching has been a strong point, with a league-best 3.35 ERA and 29 saves, ranking 8th.

Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, which is tied for 9th. Key players like Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers are crucial to their success. Duran leads the team in doubles (31) and triples (12), while Devers has contributed 23 home runs and 64 RBIs.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jorge Polanco	2B	Knee	Probable for Jul 29
J.P. Crawford	SS	Hand	10-Day IL
Julio Rodriguez	CF	Ankle	10-Day IL
Dominic Canzone	LF	Abductor	10-Day IL
Sam Haggerty	OF	Achilles	60-Day IL
Matt Brash	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Jackson Kowar	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Justin Slaten	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Chris Martin	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Triston Casas	1B	Rib	60-Day IL
Garrett Whitlock	RP	Oblique	60-Day IL
Trevor Story	SS	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Liam Hendriks	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Chris Murphy	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Lucas Giolito	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Seattle Mariners

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	vs Houston	L 3-0	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	vs Houston	L 4-2	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	vs Houston	W 6-4	Win
Mon, Jul 22	vs Los Angeles	L 3-1	Loss
Tue, Jul 23	vs Los Angeles	L 5-1	Loss

Boston Red Sox

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	Loss
Tue, Jul 23	@ Colorado	W 6-0	Win

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Prediction

Given the current form and the tough pitching matchup, our pick is Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175) for Masataka Yoshida. Logan Gilbert's impressive stats and the Red Sox's recent struggles against quality pitchers make this a favorable bet.

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