MLB Player Props Best Bets: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/26

Photo Credit: © D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will face off against the Houston Astros on July 26 at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. This matchup features two strong teams both vying for playoff positions. The Dodgers come into this game with a record of 53-49, while the Astros boast an impressive 62-42 record. Both teams have shown strong performances recently, with the Dodgers winning four of their last five games and the Astros winning six of their last eight.
The Dodgers have one of the strongest offenses in the league, ranking 2nd in hits (916) and 2nd in batting average (.261). Meanwhile, the Astros have a potent offense as well, ranking 5th in hits (888) and 6th in batting average (.253). Both teams are expected to put on an exciting show offensively.
On the pitching side, the Dodgers will start Gavin Stone, who has a 9-3 record with a 3.19 ERA. The Astros will counter with Framber Valdez, who has an 8-5 record and a 3.63 ERA. Both pitchers have been reliable for their respective teams, and this game could come down to which team can get to the opposing pitcher first.
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Player Prop Odds
Jeremy Pena - Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
Jeremy Pena - Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200), Under 0.5 (-285)
Jeremy Pena - Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-200)
Jeremy Pena - Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145), Under 0.5 (+105)
Jeremy Pena - Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-180)
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Player Analysis
Jeremy Pena has been a key contributor for the Houston Astros this season. He is currently hitting .248 with 12 home runs and 44 RBIs. Pena has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations and has been a consistent presence in the middle of the Astros lineup.
In his last 10 games, Pena has been on a hot streak, hitting .292 with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs. He has also scored 7 runs during this span, indicating that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Pena's recent performance suggests that he is in great form and could be a significant factor in this game.
Opposing Analysis
Gavin Stone, the starting pitcher for the Dodgers, has been solid this season with a 3.19 ERA. However, he has shown some vulnerability to right-handed hitters, allowing a .262 batting average against them. Pena, a right-handed batter, could take advantage of this matchup and have a productive game at the plate.
The Dodgers bullpen has been relatively strong, ranking 17th in ERA at 4.02. However, they have had some struggles in recent games, and if Stone gets into trouble early, the Astros hitters, including Pena, could capitalize on the bullpen's weaknesses.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stone (LAD) | 9-3 | 3.19 | 1.23 | 101.2 | 97 | 79 | 28 | 9 |
| F. Valdez (HOU) | 8-5 | 3.63 | 1.28 | 104.0 | 97 | 88 | 36 | 9 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have one of the most potent offenses in the league, ranking 2nd in hits and batting average. Their lineup is deep, featuring stars like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, who can change the game with one swing of the bat. The Dodgers' pitching staff, led by Gavin Stone, has been solid, but they will need to be at their best to keep the Astros' offense in check.
Houston Astros
The Astros' offense is also one of the best in the league, ranking 5th in hits and 6th in batting average. Players like Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve have been key contributors and will be crucial in this matchup. The Astros' pitching staff, led by Framber Valdez, has been reliable, and their bullpen has been strong, ranking 9th in ERA.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | LF | Thu, Jul 25 | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Henley | SP | Wed, Jul 24 | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| K. Tucker | RF | Wed, Jul 24 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Boston | W4-1 | 57-41 | Yarbrough 4-2 | Bernardino 3-3 | Hudson 5 | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Boston | W7-6 F/11 | 58-41 | Treinen 3-2 | Weissert 2-2 | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Boston | W9-6 | 59-41 | Paxton 8-2 | Crawford 6-8 | Hudson 6 | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs San Francisco | W3-2 | 60-41 | Treinen 4-2 | Miller 3-3 | Hudson 7 | 49576 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Francisco | W5-2 | 61-41 | Knack 2-2 | Hicks 4-7 | Phillips 15 | 52627 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Francisco | L8-3 | 61-42 | Ray 1-0 | Glasnow 8-6 | NaN | 54070 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs San Francisco | W6-4 | 62-42 | Treinen 5-2 | Rogers 1-4 | Honeywell 1 | 52291 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Seattle | W3-0 | 51-46 | Brown 8-6 | Castillo 8-10 | Hader 19 | 40948 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Seattle | W4-2 | 52-46 | Scott 7-3 | Stanek 6-3 | Hader 20 | 38017 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Seattle | L6-4 | 52-47 | Woo 4-1 | Blanco 9-5 | Munoz 16 | 35038 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Oakland | L4-0 | 52-48 | Harris 2-3 | Arrighetti 4-8 | NaN | 4517 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Oakland | L8-2 | 52-49 | Bido 2-1 | Bloss 0-1 | NaN | 5896 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Oakland | W8-1 | 53-49 | Brown 9-6 | Sears 7-8 | NaN | 14978 |
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Prediction
Pick: Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Jeremy Pena has been on a hot streak recently and is facing a pitcher who has struggled against right-handed hitters. With Pena's current form and the favorable matchup, I expect him to surpass 1.5 total bases in this game.
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