MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:17:21 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, on July 28. This matchup features two teams that have had their ups and downs throughout the season. The Pirates are currently 55-50 overall, with a balanced record both at home (28-24) and on the road (27-26). The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are sitting at 52-52, with an even split of 26-26 at home and on the road. Both teams are looking to gain some momentum as they push towards the latter part of the season.
The Pirates' recent performance has been a mixed bag. They won four of their last ten games, including a series win against Philadelphia. However, they dropped the first two games of this series against the Diamondbacks. Arizona has been slightly better, winning six of their last ten games, including victories over Chicago and Kansas City before coming into this series.
Historically, the Pirates and Diamondbacks have had competitive matchups, with each team taking their fair share of victories. The focus tonight will be on the starting pitchers: Mitch Keller for the Pirates and Yilber Diaz for the Diamondbacks. Keller has been solid this season, sporting a 10-5 record with a 3.34 ERA, while Diaz has struggled with a 1-1 record and a 5.40 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
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Ji Hwan Bae Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170), Under 0.5 (+125)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+250), Under 0.5 (-370)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-245)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-170), Under 0.5 (+125)
Player Analysis
Ji Hwan Bae has been a key contributor for the Pirates this season. Known for his speed and versatility, Bae has a batting average of .252, with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a valuable asset. Bae's speed is also a threat on the base paths, making him a prime candidate for stolen bases. In recent games, Bae has shown consistency, getting hits in multiple games and contributing to the Pirates' offensive efforts.
Opposing Analysis
Yilber Diaz will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks. Diaz has struggled this season, with a 5.40 ERA and a 1-1 record. He has allowed 17 hits in 15 innings pitched, along with 7 strikeouts and 4 walks. The Pirates' lineup, featuring players like Ji Hwan Bae, will look to capitalize on Diaz's struggles. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been solid, but getting to them early by roughing up Diaz will be crucial for the Pirates.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
| Yilber Diaz (ARI) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Hitting: The Pirates have a team batting average of .253, ranking 8th in the league. They have scored 513 runs, ranking 3rd.
- Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has recorded 24 saves, ranking 19th.
- Fielding: The Pirates have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th.
- Starting Pitchers: Mitch Keller leads with a 10-5 record and a 3.34 ERA.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Hitting: The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .232, ranking 25th. They have scored 425 runs, ranking 23rd.
- Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking 14th.
- Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking 21st.
- Starting Pitchers: Yilber Diaz has a 1-1 record with a 5.40 ERA.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Probable for Jul 28 (Groin) |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Probable for Jul 28 (Back) |
| Jared Jones | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Lat) |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 (Shoulder) |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Ji Hwan Bae's recent form and the struggles of Yilber Diaz on the mound for the Diamondbacks, the prop bet for Bae to get over 0.5 hits at -170 seems like a solid pick. Additionally, considering Bae's speed, a prop bet for over 0.5 stolen bases at +450 offers high value and could be worth a small wager.
Pick: Ji Hwan Bae Over 0.5 Hits
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