MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

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Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates today at Chase Field in Phoenix, starting a three-game series. The Diamondbacks, holding a 53-50 record and sitting third in the NL West, have shown impressive home performance with a 26-24 record. Known for their potent offense, they boast the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410.

The Pittsburgh Pirates, with a 52-50 record and ranking third in the NL Central, have been solid on the road with a 26-24 record. They have a remarkable 38-4 record in games where they out-hit their opponents, showcasing their offensive strength.

This game marks the first encounter between these teams this season, promising an exciting matchup. The Diamondbacks have been in good form, winning seven of their last ten games with a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA. Meanwhile, the Pirates have also been strong, winning eight of their last ten games with a .256 batting average and a 2.10 ERA.

Key performers include Christian Walker for the Diamondbacks, who leads the team with 43 extra-base hits, and Ketel Marte, who has been on fire with four home runs and 12 RBIs in the last ten games. For the Pirates, Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been standout players, with Cruz hitting five doubles and two home runs in the last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

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Alek Thomas Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-190)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

Player Analysis

Alek Thomas has been a consistent performer for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. His ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense has been crucial. Thomas has a knack for hitting singles, which is reflected in the odds for him to get over 0.5 singles at -115. Additionally, his overall hitting prop at -190 for over 0.5 hits indicates his reliability at the plate.

Thomas's performance in recent games has been noteworthy, with crucial hits that have contributed to the Diamondbacks' success. His batting average and ability to score runs make him a valuable asset in the lineup. The prop bets for runs scored at +130 and RBIs at +180 provide good value considering his recent form.

Opposing Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates' pitching staff, led by Luis Ortiz, will be a tough challenge for Alek Thomas. Ortiz has a solid record with a 5-2 win-loss ratio, a 2.57 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP. His ability to control the game and limit opposing hitters will be key in this matchup.

However, the Pirates' bullpen has shown some vulnerability, which Thomas and the Diamondbacks could exploit. The Pirates' overall team ERA of 4.50 ranks 26th in the league, indicating that there are opportunities for opposing hitters to capitalize on.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
L. Ortiz (PIT)	5-2	2.57	1.11	73.2	61	59	21	3
Z. Gallen (ARI)	7-5	3.64	1.25	81.2	75	80	27	8

Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have shown a balanced approach this season with strong performances both at home and on the road. Their hitting has been impressive, ranking 9th in the league with a .252 batting average. Key players like Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been pivotal in their offensive success.

On the pitching side, Luis Ortiz has been a standout performer with a 2.57 ERA. The bullpen, however, has struggled at times, contributing to the team's overall ERA of 4.50, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have a solid record at home, with key players like Christian Walker and Ketel Marte driving the offense. The team's overall batting average of .232 ranks 26th, but their slugging percentage of .410 places them in the top ten.

Pitcher Zac Gallen has been reliable, with a 3.64 ERA and 80 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also contributed effectively, with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 11th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bailey Falter	SP	15-Day IL (arm)
Daulton Jefferies	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jared Jones	SP	15-Day IL (lat)
Hunter Stratton	RP	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Ryan Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Dauri Moreta	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Endy Rodriguez	C	60-Day IL (elbow)
Johan Oviedo	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Blake Walston	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	6-0	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	2-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	2-1	L

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Chicago	5-2	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Chicago	3-0	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Chicago	2-1 F/10	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Kansas City	10-4	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Kansas City	6-2	W

Prediction

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