MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/28

MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/28

Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to take on the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on July 28. The Dodgers, with a current record of 55-49 and an away record of 25-28, will face a formidable Astros team that stands at 62-44 with an impressive 34-20 home record. This game promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams are battling for supremacy in their respective divisions.

The Dodgers have been solid this season with a .262 team batting average, ranking second in the league, and have accumulated 927 hits, also second-best in the league. However, their pitching has been a bit inconsistent with a team ERA of 3.98, placing them 15th overall. Key players like Jose Altuve, who leads the team with a .306 batting average, and Yordan Alvarez, who has hit 20 home runs, will be crucial in this matchup.

On the other hand, the Astros have been equally impressive, boasting a .254 team batting average and ranking fifth in the league for hits with 908. Their pitching staff has been stellar with an ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th. Shohei Ohtani has been a standout performer for the Astros, leading the team with a .318 batting average, 32 home runs, and 76 RBIs.

This game will feature a pitching matchup between Spencer Arrighetti of the Dodgers, who has a 4-8 record and a 5.65 ERA, and River Ryan of the Astros, who has yet to record a win or loss but boasts a 0.00 ERA over 5.1 innings pitched. The Astros will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage and continue their winning streak against the Dodgers.

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Player Prop Odds

Jeremy Pena Prop Odds:

- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)

- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)

- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170)

- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100)

- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-150)

- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)

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Player Analysis

Jeremy Pena has been a consistent performer for the Houston Astros this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been pivotal for the team. Pena's batting average stands at an impressive .274, and he has accumulated 14 home runs and 45 RBIs thus far. His on-base percentage (OBP) of .331 and slugging percentage (SLG) of .457 underline his capability to deliver in crucial situations.

Pena's recent form has been noteworthy as well. Over the last ten games, he has an average of .310 with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs. His ability to find gaps in the outfield and turn singles into extra-base hits makes him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. Against the Dodgers' Spencer Arrighetti, who has struggled with a 5.65 ERA, Pena's chances of exceeding his prop odds look promising.

Opposing Analysis

Spencer Arrighetti has had a challenging season for the Dodgers. With a record of 4-8 and an ERA of 5.65, he has had difficulty maintaining consistency on the mound. Arrighetti has allowed 91 hits and 45 walks in 86 innings pitched, which translates to a WHIP of 1.58. Opposing teams have found success against him, and the Astros will look to capitalize on his struggles.

The Dodgers' bullpen has also been a point of concern, with an ERA of 4.23. This presents an opportunity for the Astros' hitters, including Jeremy Pena, to exploit Arrighetti and the relief pitchers. The Astros' lineup, which ranks second in runs scored with 516, will be keen to put pressure on the Dodgers' pitching staff from the get-go.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
R. Ryan	0-0	0.00	1.31	5.1	4	2	3	0
S. Arrighetti	4-8	5.65	1.58	86.0	91	96	45	11

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Team Previews

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have been a mixed bag this season. While their batting has been strong, their pitching has been inconsistent. The team ranks second in hits (927) and runs (483), with a batting average of .262. Their pitching, on the other hand, ranks 15th with a team ERA of 3.98. The Dodgers have struggled with injuries, particularly in their bullpen, which has affected their overall performance.

Houston Astros

The Astros have been one of the standout teams this season. They rank fourth in hits (908) and second in runs (516), with a team batting average of .254. Their pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th overall. The Astros have a balanced team with strong performances from both their hitters and pitchers, making them a formidable opponent.

Team Injuries

Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
M. Grove	RP	Sat, Jul 27	Ribs	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
B. Graterol	RP	Sat, Jul 27	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5

Houston Astros Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
B. Sousa	RP	Sat, Jul 27	Shoulder	Out for the season

Recent Games

Los Angeles Dodgers Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Boston	W4-1	57-41	Yarbrough 4-2	Bernardino 3-3	Hudson 5	51562
Sat, Jul 20	vs Boston	W7-6 F/11	58-41	Treinen 3-2	Weissert 2-2	NaN	48129
Sun, Jul 21	vs Boston	W9-6	59-41	Paxton 8-2	Crawford 6-8	Hudson 6	50824
Mon, Jul 22	vs San Francisco	W3-2	60-41	Treinen 4-2	Miller 3-3	Hudson 7	49576
Tue, Jul 23	vs San Francisco	W5-2	61-41	Knack 2-2	Hicks 4-7	Phillips 15	52627

Houston Astros Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Seattle	W3-0	51-46	Brown 8-6	Castillo 8-10	Hader 19	40948
Sat, Jul 20	@ Seattle	W4-2	52-46	Scott 7-3	Stanek 6-3	Hader 20	38017
Sun, Jul 21	@ Seattle	L6-4	52-47	Woo 4-1	Blanco 9-5	Munoz 16	35038
Mon, Jul 22	@ Oakland	L4-0	52-48	Harris 2-3	Arrighetti 4-8	NaN	4517
Tue, Jul 23	@ Oakland	L8-2	52-49	Bido 2-1	Bloss 0-1	NaN	5896

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Prediction

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