MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:52:57 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
Photo Credit: © Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of a three-game series on Sunday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The game is set to begin at 11:35 a.m. EDT. Both teams are vying for the series win, with the Reds holding a 50-54 record and the Rays standing at 53-52. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, while the Rays are fourth in the AL East.
In recent performances, the Rays have been strong at home with a 28-28 record, excelling particularly when they score at least five runs, boasting a 32-6 record in such games. The Reds have a 25-26 record on the road and have shown solid slugging power, ranking 10th in the NL with a collective .392 slugging percentage.
This game marks the third meeting between these teams this season, with both teams having split the previous two games. Top performers for the Rays include Isaac Paredes, who has hit 16 home runs and driven in 55 runs while batting .247. Amed Rosario has also been hot, going 13-for-31 with four doubles in his last 10 games. For the Reds, Spencer Steer has been a key contributor with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBI. Elly De La Cruz has also been impressive, hitting .325 with three home runs in his last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
For Spencer Steer, here are the player prop odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330) / Under 0.5 (-525)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170) / Under 0.5 (-235)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120) / Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130) / Under 1.5 (-180)
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Player Analysis
Spencer Steer has been a crucial component for the Cincinnati Reds this season. Hitting .239 with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs, Steer has proven to be a reliable offensive threat. Over his last 10 games, he has continued to deliver, contributing significantly to the Reds' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a player to watch in this matchup against the Rays.
Opposing Analysis
The Tampa Bay Rays will be starting Shawn Armstrong, who has had a challenging season with a 5.64 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Armstrong has allowed 53 hits and 19 walks in 44.2 innings while striking out 49 batters. The Reds' hitters, including Steer, will look to capitalize on Armstrong's struggles, particularly his tendency to allow base runners. The Rays' bullpen, which has been inconsistent this season, will also play a crucial role in the outcome of this game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 7-4 | 3.14 | 1.09 | 117.1 | 80 | 133 | 48 | 10 |
| Shawn Armstrong | 2-2 | 5.64 | 1.61 | 44.2 | 53 | 49 | 19 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have struggled this season with a .234 team batting average, ranking 23rd in the league. However, they have shown power, ranking 10th in the NL with a .392 slugging percentage. The Reds' pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, ranking 20th in the league, with their bullpen ranking in the top five with 33 saves. Fielding has been average, with 54 errors, ranking 16th.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have had a tough time offensively, with a .230 team batting average, ranking 28th. However, they have managed to score 459 runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a 3.83 ERA, ranking 12th. The Rays' bullpen has 22 saves, ranking them in the bottom ten. Defensively, the Rays have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th worst in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | L8-5 | 47-51 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | L5-4 | 47-52 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | L5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | W4-1 | 48-53 | Greene 7-4 | Lopez 7-4 | NaN | 38779 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | W9-4 | 49-53 | Moll 2-1 | Winans 0-2 | NaN | 34407 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Tampa Bay | W3-2 F/10 | 50-53 | Martinez 4-5 | Rodriguez 1-2 | Diaz 20 | 20441 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Tampa Bay | L4-0 | 50-54 | Littell 4-7 | Abbott 9-7 | NaN | 23464 |
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Prediction
Given Spencer Steer’s recent form and the struggles of Rays' pitcher Shawn Armstrong, my prop bet pick is for Spencer Steer to exceed 1.5 total bases. Steer has been consistent and Armstrong's high ERA and WHIP suggest there will be opportunities for Steer to get on base multiple times.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
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