MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28
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MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

MLB Player Props Analysis Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/28

Photo Credit: © Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of a three-game series on Sunday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The game is set to begin at 11:35 a.m. EDT. Both teams are vying for the series win, with the Reds holding a 50-54 record and the Rays standing at 53-52. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, while the Rays are fourth in the AL East.

In recent performances, the Rays have been strong at home with a 28-28 record, excelling particularly when they score at least five runs, boasting a 32-6 record in such games. The Reds have a 25-26 record on the road and have shown solid slugging power, ranking 10th in the NL with a collective .392 slugging percentage.

This game marks the third meeting between these teams this season, with both teams having split the previous two games. Top performers for the Rays include Isaac Paredes, who has hit 16 home runs and driven in 55 runs while batting .247. Amed Rosario has also been hot, going 13-for-31 with four doubles in his last 10 games. For the Reds, Spencer Steer has been a key contributor with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBI. Elly De La Cruz has also been impressive, hitting .325 with three home runs in his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

For Spencer Steer, here are the player prop odds:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330) / Under 0.5 (-525)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170) / Under 0.5 (-235)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120) / Under 0.5 (-160)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under 0.5 (-145)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130) / Under 1.5 (-180)

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Player Analysis

Spencer Steer has been a crucial component for the Cincinnati Reds this season. Hitting .239 with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs, Steer has proven to be a reliable offensive threat. Over his last 10 games, he has continued to deliver, contributing significantly to the Reds' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a player to watch in this matchup against the Rays.

Opposing Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays will be starting Shawn Armstrong, who has had a challenging season with a 5.64 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Armstrong has allowed 53 hits and 19 walks in 44.2 innings while striking out 49 batters. The Reds' hitters, including Steer, will look to capitalize on Armstrong's struggles, particularly his tendency to allow base runners. The Rays' bullpen, which has been inconsistent this season, will also play a crucial role in the outcome of this game.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Hunter Greene 7-4 3.14 1.09 117.1 80 133 48 10
Shawn Armstrong 2-2 5.64 1.61 44.2 53 49 19 5

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Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have struggled this season with a .234 team batting average, ranking 23rd in the league. However, they have shown power, ranking 10th in the NL with a .392 slugging percentage. The Reds' pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, ranking 20th in the league, with their bullpen ranking in the top five with 33 saves. Fielding has been average, with 54 errors, ranking 16th.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have had a tough time offensively, with a .230 team batting average, ranking 28th. However, they have managed to score 459 runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a 3.83 ERA, ranking 12th. The Rays' bullpen has 22 saves, ranking them in the bottom ten. Defensively, the Rays have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th worst in the league.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Peyton Burdick RF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Luke Maile C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Richard Lovelady RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 @ Washington L8-5 47-51 Corbin 2-9 Montas 4-8 Finnegan 26 38402
Sat, Jul 20 @ Washington L5-4 47-52 Law 6-2 Wilson 1-2 Finnegan 27 32734
Sun, Jul 21 @ Washington L5-2 47-53 Garcia 2-3 Sims 1-4 Finnegan 28 23967
Mon, Jul 22 @ Atlanta W4-1 48-53 Greene 7-4 Lopez 7-4 NaN 38779
Wed, Jul 24 @ Atlanta W9-4 49-53 Moll 2-1 Winans 0-2 NaN 34407
Fri, Jul 26 @ Tampa Bay W3-2 F/10 50-53 Martinez 4-5 Rodriguez 1-2 Diaz 20 20441
Sat, Jul 27 @ Tampa Bay L4-0 50-54 Littell 4-7 Abbott 9-7 NaN 23464

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Prediction

Given Spencer Steer’s recent form and the struggles of Rays' pitcher Shawn Armstrong, my prop bet pick is for Spencer Steer to exceed 1.5 total bases. Steer has been consistent and Armstrong's high ERA and WHIP suggest there will be opportunities for Steer to get on base multiple times.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

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Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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