MLB Player Props Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:32:28 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates for the second game of their series on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 after a narrow 4-3 victory in the first game. Arizona boasts a home record of 27-24 and an overall record of 54-50, placing them third in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have been particularly effective when their bats are hot, winning 41 out of 51 games where they scored five or more runs.
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game with a 26-25 record on the road and an overall record of 52-51, also placing them third in the NL Central. The Pirates have the sixth-best team ERA in the National League at 3.78, which should make for an interesting matchup against the Diamondbacks' lineup.
In recent games, the Diamondbacks have seen standout performances from Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte, while the Pirates have been led by Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds. The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 games with a .254 batting average and a 3.64 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 17 runs. Similarly, the Pirates are also 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a .258 batting average and a 2.53 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 14 runs.
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Player Prop Odds for Andrew McCutchen
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-190)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270), Under 0.5 (-375)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-175)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (+125)
Player Analysis: Andrew McCutchen
Andrew McCutchen has been a cornerstone for the Pittsburgh Pirates. This season, he has shown a consistent ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. McCutchen's batting average stands at .265 with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. He also has a respectable OBP of .370, showcasing his discipline at the plate. In the last 10 games, McCutchen has been particularly effective, hitting .300 with 2 home runs and 8 RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
The Diamondbacks' probable starting pitcher, Brandon Pfaadt, has a record of 4-6 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Pfaadt has shown the ability to strike out batters, totaling 111 strikeouts in 120.1 innings pitched. However, he has been vulnerable to allowing hits and home runs, giving up 106 hits and 14 home runs this season. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been solid, with a combined ERA of 3.78, but they have been known to falter in high-pressure situations.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.27 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have a strong lineup led by Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds. Cruz batting .249 with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Reynolds is hitting .296 with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs. The Pirates' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking sixth in the NL. Their bullpen has also been effective, with David Bednar leading the way with 24 saves.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks' offense is spearheaded by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker. Marte has a batting average of .253 with 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs, while Walker is hitting .232 with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs. The Diamondbacks' pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.49, which is a point of concern. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, with Paul Sewald leading with 26 saves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | SP | 15-Day IL (arm) |
| Daulton Jefferies | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jared Jones | SP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Drey Jameson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W6-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Andrew McCutchen Over 0.5 Hits (-190)
Andrew McCutchen has been in good form recently, hitting .300 over his last 10 games. Given Brandon Pfaadt's vulnerability to giving up hits and McCutchen's ability to make contact, taking the Over 0.5 Hits prop for McCutchen at -190 odds seems like a solid pick.
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