MLB Player Props Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks - 7/26

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:10:11 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks - 7/26

Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50, third in the NL West) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50, third in the NL Central) on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix. The game is scheduled to start at 9:40 PM EDT. Both teams have shown competitive performances recently, with the Diamondbacks holding a 26-24 record at home and the Pirates having an identical 26-24 record on the road.
Arizona’s offense has been impressive, boasting the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB play at .410. Key performers include Christian Walker, who leads the team with 43 extra-base hits, and Ketel Marte, who has been on a tear, going 15-for-36 with four home runs and 12 RBIs over the past 10 games.
The Pirates have also been formidable, particularly in games where they out-hit their opponents, holding a staggering 38-4 record in such instances. Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz are among the notable contributors, with Cruz hitting .308 with five doubles and two home runs in the last 10 games.
Both teams have been in good form over their last ten games, with the Diamondbacks going 7-3 and the Pirates 8-2. This game marks the first matchup between these teams this season, setting the stage for an exciting series.
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Player Prop Odds
For this matchup, we will focus on Joc Pederson. Below are the player prop odds for Pederson:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
Joc Pederson has been a key player for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for the team. Over the past ten games, Pederson has shown consistency, contributing significantly to the Diamondbacks’ offense.
Pederson’s recent stats indicate his form: he has a batting average of .250, with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. His power-hitting ability is evident in his slugging percentage and the number of extra-base hits he has accumulated.
Opposing Analysis
For this game, Pederson will be facing Luis Ortiz, who has been impressive for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ortiz holds a 5-2 record with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. He has struck out 59 batters over 73.2 innings, showcasing his ability to keep hitters at bay.
The Pirates’ pitching staff, in general, has a team ERA of 4.50, ranked 26th in the league. However, Ortiz has been a standout performer, and the Diamondbacks will need to bring their A-game to overcome his pitching.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable pitchers for both teams:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 59 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 1.25 | 80 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been a solid team this season, with a record of 52-50. Their hitting has been a strength, with the team ranking 3rd in runs (509) and 8th in hits (879). They have a batting average of .252, ranked 9th in the league.
On the pitching side, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.50, which is 26th in the league. Their relief pitching has been reliable, with 23 saves, but the starting pitchers need to perform better to keep the team in contention.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have a record of 53-50 and have been competitive in the NL West. Their hitting has been decent, with a team slugging percentage of .410, ranked 9th in the league. Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the standout performers.
The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.77, ranked 11th in the league. Zac Gallen has been a key player, with a 7-5 record and a 3.64 ERA. The bullpen has also contributed with 26 saves, ranked 13th in the league.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | SP | Arm | 15-Day IL |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Jared Jones | RP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Hunter Stratton | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Endy Rodriguez | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Johan Oviedo | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Drey Jameson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
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Arizona Diamondbacks
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
Prediction
Given the recent performances and the odds, Joc Pederson looks like a solid pick for some of the prop bets. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes the following bets appealing:
Pick: Over 0.5 RBIs (+140)
Pederson's recent form and Arizona's offensive support make the RBI bet a favorable option. Additionally, consider Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) given his power-hitting capacity.
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