MLB Player Props Analysis: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Wolfeofbetting
Jul 29, 2024, 4:17:52 PM

Photo Credit: © Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees, currently holding a record of 62-45 and sitting second in the AL East, face off against the Philadelphia Phillies, who lead the NL East with a 65-40 record. This highly anticipated matchup will take place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 29th, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT.

Philadelphia has been dominant at home with a 38-18 record. They have shown exceptional offensive prowess, boasting a 46-6 record in games where they scored five or more runs. Bryce Harper has been a key player for the Phillies with 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs this season.

On the other hand, the Yankees have been formidable on the road, with a 35-22 record. They have a strong track record of winning games where they out-hit their opponents, owning a 49-9 record in such scenarios. Aaron Judge has been leading the charge for the Yankees with an impressive .314 batting average, 37 home runs, and 96 RBIs.

Both teams come into this game with mixed recent form. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games, with a batting average of .220 and an ERA of 5.12. The Yankees, meanwhile, are 4-6 in their last ten games, hitting .277 with an ERA of 4.94. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season, setting the stage for an exciting three-game series.

Scan to Download the iOS App

Player Prop Odds

For today's analysis, we will focus on Austin Wells of the New York Yankees. Here are his prop odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

Player Analysis: Austin Wells

Austin Wells has been a solid contributor for the Yankees this season. Currently, he has a batting average of .241 with 8 home runs and 25 RBIs over 195 at-bats. Wells has shown the ability to reach base consistently and has a knack for coming through in clutch situations.

Wells' recent form has been promising, and given his prop odds for this game, there are several attractive options for bettors. His Over 0.5 Hits prop at -165 seems like a safe bet considering his current form and overall consistency at the plate.

Opposing Analysis: Zack Wheeler

Facing Wells will be Phillies' ace Zack Wheeler, who has been stellar this season with a 10-4 record, a 2.55 ERA, and 133 strikeouts. Wheeler has a dominant WHIP of 0.98, indicating his ability to limit base runners effectively.

However, the Yankees' lineup has several power hitters who can take advantage of any mistake pitches. Wheeler will need to be at his best to navigate through the potent Yankees offense.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler	Philadelphia Phillies	10-4	2.55	133
Luis Gil	New York Yankees	10-5	3.10	124

Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees' offensive statistics are impressive. They rank 5th in hits (916) and runs (512), and 4th in team batting average (.256). Their pitching staff is equally formidable, with a team ERA of 3.43, ranking 2nd in the league. Despite some defensive lapses, with 59 errors (9th), their overall performance has been stellar.

Key Injuries: Jose Trevino (C, Quadriceps), Cody Poteet (SP, Triceps).

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies lead the league in runs scored (539) and have a solid team batting average (.250). Their pitching, led by Wheeler, has an ERA of 3.67, ranking 5th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 63 errors, ranking 7th.

Key Injuries: Ranger Suarez (15-Day IL, Back), Luis Ortiz (60-Day IL, Ankle).

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jose Trevino	C	Quadriceps	10-Day IL
Cody Poteet	SP	Triceps	15-Day IL
Ranger Suarez	SP	Back	15-Day IL
Luis Ortiz	RP	Ankle	60-Day IL

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	Tampa Bay	6-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	Tampa Bay	1-9	L
Sun, Jul 21	Tampa Bay	4-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	Tampa Bay	9-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	New York	2-3	L

Philadelphia Phillies

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	Pittsburgh	7-8	L
Sat, Jul 20	Pittsburgh	1-4	L
Sun, Jul 21	Pittsburgh	6-0	W
Mon, Jul 22	Minnesota	2-7	L
Tue, Jul 23	Minnesota	3-0	W

Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Austin Wells (+155)

Given Austin Wells' recent form and the favorable odds, betting on him to achieve over 1.5 total bases presents good value. While Zack Wheeler is a tough opponent, Wells has shown the ability to rise to the occasion in key moments. Backing him to get at least two total bases is a reasonable bet.

Get more expert picks!