MLB Player Props Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:21:36 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
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Game Summary
American Family Field will host the exciting MLB matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th. Both teams are looking to secure a crucial win as the season progresses. The Marlins have shown prowess on the road, boasting a 30-26 away record. Meanwhile, the Brewers are looking to improve their home record of 22-34.
Historically, the Brewers have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Marlins. However, the Marlins are riding high on their recent performance, having won four of their last five games. The Brewers, on the other hand, are trying to recover from a couple of losses against the same opponent.
Notably, this game will feature Tobias Myers for the Marlins and Kyle Tyler for the Brewers as the starting pitchers. Both have shown flashes of brilliance this season, setting the stage for an intriguing pitching duel.
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Player Prop Odds
Joey Ortiz Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425), Under 0.5 (-750)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-260)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155), Under 0.5 (-215)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120), Under 0.5 (-110)
Player Analysis
Joey Ortiz has been a consistent contributor for the Miami Marlins this season. With a batting average of .254, Ortiz has managed to secure his spot as a reliable hitter in the lineup. His recent form has been impressive, with multiple games where he has recorded hits and RBIs. Given his performance, the prop odds for Ortiz hitting singles and scoring runs are particularly intriguing.
Opposing Analysis
Kyle Tyler of the Milwaukee Brewers will be the opposing pitcher. Tyler has a 3.92 ERA this season and has struggled with consistency. His WHIP of 1.45 suggests that he allows a fair number of base runners, which could provide opportunities for Ortiz to capitalize. Additionally, Tyler's tendency to give up hits makes the over on Ortiz's singles prop a viable option.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 68 |
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been one of the better offensive teams this season, ranking 7th in hits and tied for 8th in runs scored. Their batting average of .254 is 6th in the league, showing their ability to get on base and manufacture runs. Defensively, they have a solid ERA of 3.72, placing them 6th overall. Their relief pitching has been dependable, with 35 saves, ranking 3rd in the league. Fielding-wise, they have committed 55 errors, which is tied for 14th.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs scored and 20th in batting average. Their ERA of 4.48 places them 25th, indicating issues with both their starting and relief pitching. Defensively, they have committed 75 errors, the most in the league. Despite these struggles, they have managed to stay competitive in several games, largely due to timely hitting from key players like Bryan De La Cruz and Jesus Sanchez.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Sat, Jul 27 | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Joey Ortiz's recent form and Kyle Tyler's tendency to allow base runners, we recommend taking the Over 0.5 on Joey Ortiz's singles at -120 odds. Ortiz has been consistent at the plate, and Tyler's high WHIP provides a good opportunity for Ortiz to get on base multiple times.
Pick: Over 0.5 Singles (-120)
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