MLB Player Props Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/27

Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 27, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This game promises to be a thrilling matchup as both teams are performing well this season. The Guardians currently hold a 64-39 record, placing them at the top of the Central division, while the Phillies are close behind with a 62-41 record, ranking them third in the East division.

In their recent games, the Guardians have shown strong form, winning three of their last five matches. However, they have had some setbacks, losing 7-0 to San Diego and 8-2 to Detroit. The Phillies, on the other hand, have faced a bit of a rough patch, dropping four out of their last five games, including losses to Pittsburgh and Minnesota.

Historically, the Guardians and Phillies have shown competitive spirit in their matchups, with both teams often going toe-to-toe. With the Guardians’ solid batting lineup and the Phillies’ resilient pitching staff, this game is expected to be a high-stakes affair.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Jose Ramirez:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275), Under 0.5 (-429)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+375)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+133), Under 0.5 (-184)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-104), Under 0.5 (-131)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+102), Under 0.5 (-139)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-104), Under 1.5 (-131)

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Player Analysis: Jose Ramirez

Jose Ramirez has been an outstanding performer for the Guardians this season. With a batting average of .340, 24 home runs, and 82 RBIs, he has been a critical player in their lineup. Ramirez’s ability to deliver in crucial moments has made him one of the most reliable hitters in the league. His impressive stats place him among the top players, and his consistent performance is a significant reason for the Guardians’ success this season.

Ramirez has also shown versatility, contributing to the team's success with both power and contact hitting. His total bases often reflect his overall impact on the game, making him a valuable asset for any prop bet involving hits or runs.

Opposing Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies Pitching

The Phillies will be relying on Carlos Carrasco to take the mound against the Guardians. Carrasco has had an up-and-down season with a 3-8 record, a 5.32 ERA, and 74 strikeouts over 91.1 innings. While Carrasco has struggled with consistency, he has shown flashes of brilliance that can shut down even the best hitters.

However, Carrasco’s tendency to give up home runs (15 this season) and walks (26) could be a point of exploitation for the Guardians' batters. With Ramirez's ability to capitalize on mistakes, Carrasco will need to be at his best to contain the Guardians' offense.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco (PHI)	3-8	5.32	74
Tyler Phillips (CLE)	2-0	2.81	15

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Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

Hitting: The Guardians boast a strong offensive lineup, ranking 5th in hits (893), 5th in runs (500), and 3rd in batting average (.257). Key players like Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan contribute significantly to these stats, making the Guardians a formidable team at the plate.

Relief Pitching: The Guardians’ bullpen is solid, with 27 saves (10th) and an overall ERA of 3.46 (2nd), showcasing their ability to close out games effectively.

Fielding: With 57 errors (11th), the Guardians have been relatively reliable defensively, minimizing mistakes that could cost them games.

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Phillips has been impressive with a 2-0 record and a 2.81 ERA. His low WHIP of 0.88 indicates his ability to limit baserunners, a crucial factor in maintaining control over the game.

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies rank 21st in hits (810) and 13th in runs (471), with a team batting average of .241 (16th). While they have some power hitters like Bryce Harper, the overall consistency of their lineup has been a concern.

Relief Pitching: The Phillies’ bullpen has been a mixed bag, with 36 saves (2nd) but an ERA of 3.65 (5th). They have the potential to close out games but have shown vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit.

Fielding: With 54 errors (14th), the Phillies have had their share of defensive lapses. These errors could provide opportunities for the Guardians to capitalize on.

Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco’s struggles this season are evident with his 3-8 record and 5.32 ERA. His tendency to allow home runs and walks could be a significant disadvantage against a potent Guardians lineup.

Team Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Matthew Boyd	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
James Karinchak	RP	Tue, Jul 23	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Philadelphia Phillies

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Taijuan Walker	SP	Sun, Jul 14	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Dylan Covey	RP	Sun, Jul 14	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Luis Ortiz	RP	Sun, Jul 14	Elbow	Out for the season

Recent Games

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W7-0	W
vs San Diego	L7-0	L
vs San Diego	L2-1	L
vs Detroit	L8-2	L
vs Detroit	W5-4	W

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	L8-7	L
@ Pittsburgh	L4-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W6-0	W
@ Minnesota	L7-2	L
@ Minnesota	W3-0	W

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Prediction

Considering the current form and the matchups, the player prop that stands out is Jose Ramirez's total bases over 1.5 (-104). Ramirez has been a consistent performer and has the ability to rack up multiple bases in a game. With Carrasco’s struggles, Ramirez is likely to get good opportunities to hit, making the over on total bases a solid bet.