MLB Player Props Analysis: Braves vs Mets 7/26
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:13:29 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis: Braves vs Mets 7/26
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This game is critical for both teams as they are neck and neck in the NL East standings. The Braves, currently second, hold a 54-47 record, while the Mets are just a half-game behind with a 54-48 record. The Mets have a slight edge in the season series, leading 4-3.
Recently, the Mets have been in excellent form, winning seven of their last ten games. They’ve posted a .249 batting average and a 3.84 ERA during this span, outscoring their opponents by 12 runs. On the other hand, the Braves have been struggling, losing seven of their last ten games. They’ve managed a .219 batting average and a 4.04 ERA, being outscored by 13 runs in the process.
The Mets have a respectable 27-26 home record, while the Braves are just under .500 on the road with a 24-26 record. The Braves' offense has been powered by Marcell Ozuna, who has an impressive 28 home runs and 80 RBIs while batting .305. Austin Riley has also been a key contributor, hitting .297 with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor has been the standout performer with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Jose Iglesias:
- Doubles Over 0.5 (+380)
- Hits Over 1.5 (+210)
- RBIs Over 0.5 (+210)
- Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+135)
- Singles Over 0.5 (-175)
- Total Bases Over 1.5 (+130)
Player Analysis: Jose Iglesias
Jose Iglesias has been in excellent form recently, going 16-for-38 (.421) with two doubles, a triple, and two home runs over his last ten games. His ability to make consistent contact and get on base has been a key factor for the Braves. With a season batting average of .305, Iglesias has proven to be a reliable hitter, especially in clutch situations.
Opposing Analysis: New York Mets Pitching
The Mets will be starting Kodai Senga, who is making his MLB debut. There is little data on Senga's performance at the major league level, but he has been highly touted for his pitching skills in Japan. The Braves will look to capitalize on Senga's inexperience, especially with hitters like Iglesias who thrive against new pitchers.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 101 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 0-0 | -- | -- |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
- Hitting: The Braves are fourth in the NL with 115 total home runs, averaging 1.1 per game. They have an overall batting average of .249, ranking 11th in the league.
- Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has recorded 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league.
- Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league.
- Starting Pitching: The Braves' starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in the league.
New York Mets
- Hitting: The Mets have a total of 818 hits, ranking 18th in the league. They have an overall batting average of .240, ranking 17th in the league.
- Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking 13th in the league.
- Fielding: The Mets have committed 43 errors, ranking 28th in the league.
- Starting Pitching: The Mets' starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.50, ranking 3rd in the league.
Team Injuries
| Team | Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | Harrison Bader | OF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Mets | Christian Scott | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Braves | Michael Harris II | OF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Braves | Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
Recent Games
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| Team | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| Mets | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| Mets | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| Mets | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
| Mets | @ New York | W 12-3 | W |
| Braves | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 (F/10) | W |
| Braves | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| Braves | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| Braves | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| Braves | @ New York | L 3-2 (F/10) | L |
Prediction
Given Jose Iglesias’s current form and the uncertainty surrounding Kodai Senga's MLB debut, there's a strong potential for Iglesias to rack up multiple hits. The Mets' bullpen has been solid, but Iglesias’s ability to make consistent contact should give him an edge.
Pick: Jose Iglesias Over 1.5 Hits (+210)
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