MLB Player Props Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:03:18 AM
MLB Player Props Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26
Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is set to begin at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are currently second in the NL East with a 54-47 record, while the Mets are right behind them with a 54-48 record, holding third place in the division.
Both teams have shown contrasting forms recently. The Braves are looking to break a five-game slide, while the Mets have won seven out of their last ten games. Historically, the Mets lead the season series 4-3 against the Braves. The Mets have been strong at home, boasting a 27-26 record, and the Braves have struggled on the road with a 24-26 record.
Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets and Marcell Ozuna for the Braves. Lindor has been in excellent form, hitting 27 doubles and 22 home runs this season. Meanwhile, Ozuna has been a powerhouse for the Braves, with 28 home runs and a .305 batting average.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)
Player Analysis
Jarred Kelenic has been a key contributor for the Mets this season. His hitting statistics have been impressive, and he has shown a knack for accumulating bases. With an over/under of 0.5 for doubles and hits, Kelenic is likely to exceed these marks given his current form. He has also been reliable for RBIs and runs scored, making the over on 0.5 an attractive proposition.
Opposing Analysis
The Braves' pitching staff has been inconsistent this season. With Charlie Morton leading the charge, the Braves have a team ERA of 4.15, which ranks 20th in the league. Morton's ERA of 3.92 and WHIP of 1.22 suggest that he can be vulnerable, especially against a potent Mets lineup. The Mets have shown they can score runs in bunches, particularly when they exceed five runs per game, where they hold a 37-15 record.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5-5 | 3.92 | 1.22 | 103.1 | 87 | 101 | 39 | 11 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
The Braves have shown prowess in hitting with 115 total home runs, placing them fourth in the NL. However, their pitching and fielding have been areas of concern, with a team ERA of 4.15 and 70 errors, which is the third-highest in the league.
The Mets have been more balanced, with a team ERA of 3.50, ranking third in the NL. Their batting average of .240 is middle-of-the-pack, but they have been effective in close games and have a solid home record of 27-26.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader (NYM) | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) | RF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
Recent Games
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Braves Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 2-3 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 4-9 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
Mets Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta | 3-2 | W |
| @ New York | 12-3 | W |
| @ New York | 3-2 | W |
| @ Miami | 6-4 | W |
| @ Miami | 2-4 | L |
Prediction
Given the current form of the teams and the statistical analysis, the best player prop bet for Jarred Kelenic is:
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-175)
Kelenic's consistency at the plate and the Braves' vulnerable pitching make this a strong pick.
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