MLB Player Props Advice: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 10/18

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:51:58 PM
MLB Player Props Advice: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
Date: October 18, 2023
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland


Photo Credit: © James A. Pittman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest with both teams having different objectives as the season progresses. The Blue Jays, currently with a record of 62-43, are looking to solidify their playoff position. On the other hand, the Orioles, at 49-56, are trying to finish the season on a high note, aiming for a strong performance in front of their home crowd.
Recent performances for both teams have been mixed. The Blue Jays have shown resilience and have managed to win six out of their last ten games, including a significant win against the Tampa Bay Rays. Conversely, the Orioles have struggled, winning only four of their last ten games. However, they did secure a crucial win against the San Diego Padres, which could boost their morale going into this game.
Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Orioles have shown they can compete, especially with home-field advantage. This game is essential for both teams, with the Blue Jays looking to maintain momentum and the Orioles aiming for a statement win.
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Player Prop Odds
Ryan O'Hearn:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)
Player Analysis
Ryan O'Hearn has been a consistent performer for the Orioles this season. With a batting average of .252, he has the ability to get on base and drive in runs. O'Hearn's recent form has been impressive, particularly against right-handed pitchers. In his last ten games, he has managed to record multiple hits in six of them, showcasing his batting prowess.
O'Hearn's ability to hit doubles and drive in runs makes him a crucial player for the Orioles. His prop odds for hitting over 0.5 doubles at +420 and over 0.5 RBIs at +130 are particularly appealing given his recent form. Additionally, his odds for hitting over 1.5 total bases at +125 indicate that he is expected to contribute significantly to the Orioles' offense.
Opposing Analysis
Toronto's probable starting pitcher, Cade Povich, has had a challenging season with a 6.27 ERA. Povich has struggled to keep hitters off base, allowing 33 hits in 33 innings pitched. His WHIP of 1.55 suggests that he has issues with control, which could be exploited by a disciplined hitter like Ryan O'Hearn.
The Blue Jays' bullpen has been reliable, but early runs against Povich could set the tone for the Orioles. O'Hearn's ability to capitalize on Povich's struggles could be a deciding factor in this game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (TOR) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 24 |
| Bowden Francis (BAL) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 34 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been a strong team this season, particularly on the road with a 31-19 record. Offensively, they rank 6th in hits (915) and 4th in runs (522). Their batting average of .252 places them 9th in the league. The pitching staff has been solid with an 8th-ranked ERA of 3.79 and 33 saves, tied for 5th in MLB. However, they struggle with fielding, ranking 20th with 51 errors.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a tough season, but they have shown resilience. Their batting average of .238 ranks 20th, and they are 25th in runs scored with 430. The pitching staff has struggled with a 27th-ranked ERA of 4.51. Despite these challenges, they have a decent number of saves (25) and have committed fewer errors (58) than the Blue Jays. The Orioles' home record is 26-28, showing that they can be competitive at Oriole Park.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | CF | Probable for Jul 29 |
| John Means | SP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Given Ryan O'Hearn's recent form and Cade Povich's struggles on the mound, it's likely that O'Hearn will have a productive game. The prop bet of O'Hearn hitting over 0.5 RBIs at +130 looks particularly appealing. Additionally, the over 1.5 total bases at +125 is another favorable bet considering O'Hearn's ability to hit for power and his current hot streak.
Pick: Ryan O'Hearn Over 0.5 RBIs (+130)
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