MLB Player Props Advice: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:11:19 AM
MLB Player Props Advice: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays are set to clash in the decisive game of their three-game series at Rogers Centre on Thursday, July 25 at 3:07 PM EDT. The series is currently tied 1-1, with both teams showing competitive spirit in their quest for a series win. Toronto holds a 23-27 record at home and an overall record of 46-55, ranking fifth in the AL East. The Blue Jays have been formidable when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 33-8 record in such games.
On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays have a balanced road record of 24-24 and an overall record of 51-51, positioning them fourth in the AL East. The Rays have excelled in games where they did not allow a home run, holding a 19-7 record in such matchups. This game marks the tenth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Rays holding a slight edge with a 5-4 advantage in the season series.
Both teams have showcased individual brilliance in recent games. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the charge with 18 home runs and a slugging percentage of .488. George Springer has been in fine form, going 12-for-41 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, and nine RBIs over the past 10 games. The Rays' Richard Palacios has contributed with eight doubles, a triple, and five home runs, while Randy Arozarena has been impressive with 11 hits in his last 36 at-bats, including three doubles and four home runs.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, Daulton Varsho's player prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)
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Player Analysis
Daulton Varsho has been a key player for the Toronto Blue Jays this season. Although his overall batting average stands at .233, Varsho has shown flashes of brilliance. Over the past 10 games, he has contributed significantly to the Blue Jays' offense. Varsho's prop odds for hits and RBIs are particularly intriguing. With an over/under of 0.5 hits set at -160, there is a high probability that Varsho will get at least one hit in this game. Moreover, his RBI odds at +180 suggest that he could drive in a run, especially given his recent form.
Opposing Analysis
The Tampa Bay Rays' pitching staff has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 4.45. Taj Bradley, the expected starter for the Rays, has been impressive with a 5-4 record, a 2.63 ERA, and 90 strikeouts over 75.1 innings pitched. However, Bradley will face a Blue Jays lineup that has been hitting well recently. The Blue Jays have a team batting average of .263 over the last 10 games and have shown the ability to score runs, which could pose a challenge for Bradley.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable pitchers for the game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5-4 | 2.63 | 1.05 | 75.1 | 53 | 90 | 26 | 10 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 8-8 | 3.71 | 1.42 | 114.0 | 116 | 106 | 46 | 10 |
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Team Previews
The Toronto Blue Jays have had a mixed season. Offensively, they have struggled with a batting average of .233, ranking 23rd in the league. However, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly from key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer. Their pitching staff, led by Chris Bassitt, has been slightly better, with a team ERA of 4.21. The Blue Jays' bullpen has been a strength, with 33 saves, ranking 4th in the league.
On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays have had their ups and downs. They have a team batting average of .236, ranking 20th in the league. Richard Palacios and Randy Arozarena have been standout performers for the Rays. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 4.45. Taj Bradley has been a bright spot in their rotation, and the Rays' bullpen has also been reliable with 24 saves, ranking tied for 19th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | SS | 10-Day IL (calf) |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3B | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Jordan Romano | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Alek Manoah | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Ryan Pepiot | RP | 15-Day IL (knee) |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jacob Waguespack | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Shane McClanahan | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
Recent Games
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | L |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | L |
| @ Toronto | W 4-2 | W |
| @ Toronto | L 6-3 | L |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Hits (-160)
Given Daulton Varsho's recent form and the favorable matchup against a Rays team that has been inconsistent on the road, the over 0.5 hits prop at -160 offers value. Varsho has been a key contributor to the Blue Jays' offense, and with his current momentum, he is likely to record at least one hit in this game.
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