MLB Player Props Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 12:04:26 PM
MLB Player Props Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Preview: Diamondbacks bring 1-0 series lead over Pirates into game 2
By Data Skrive
Jul 27, 2024, 04:02 am
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51, third in the NL Central) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50, third in the NL West) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Saturday at 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 following a close 4-3 victory in the first game.
Arizona has been solid at home with a 27-24 record and an overall record of 54-50. They have been particularly potent when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such games. The Diamondbacks' recent form has been impressive, going 7-3 in their last ten games with a team batting average of .254 and an ERA of 3.64, outscoring opponents by 17 runs.
On the other hand, the Pirates have also been decent on the road with a 26-25 record and an overall record of 52-51. They have the sixth-ranked team ERA in the National League at 3.78. Pittsburgh has matched Arizona's recent form, also going 7-3 in their last ten games with a slightly higher batting average of .258 and a lower ERA of 2.53, outscoring opponents by 14 runs.
This matchup features some top performers from both teams. For the Diamondbacks, Corbin Carroll has been an all-around contributor with 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. Ketel Marte has been on fire recently, going 14-for-35 with a double and four home runs over the last ten games. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz has tallied 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds has been consistent with a 14-for-38 performance, including a double, a home run, and five RBIs over the last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
Rowdy Tellez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+375), Under 0.5 (-600)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200), Under 0.5 (-275)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+170), Under 0.5 (-225)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-130)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-190), Under 0.5 (+145)
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Player Analysis
Rowdy Tellez has been a key player for the Pirates, especially in clutch situations. With a batting average of .253 and a slugging percentage of .456, Tellez has managed to contribute significantly to the Pirates' offensive output. He has hit 15 home runs this season, along with 51 RBIs, making him a reliable option for driving in runs.
Opposing Analysis
The Diamondbacks' pitching staff, led by Brandon Pfaadt, has been solid this season. Pfaadt has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has struck out 111 batters across 120.1 innings, showing his ability to control games and limit offensive production. However, the Diamondbacks' bullpen has been somewhat inconsistent, which could provide opportunities for Tellez to capitalize, especially in later innings.
Pitching Probables
Pittsburgh Pirates: Marco Gonzales (1-1, 2.70 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 19 strikeouts)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Brandon Pfaadt (4-6, 3.74 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 111 strikeouts)
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been an above-average team in hitting, ranking 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513) in the league. They have a team batting average of .253, showcasing their ability to get on base and drive in runs. The Pirates' relief pitching has been respectable, with 24 saves ranking tied for 19th. However, their starting pitching, outside of today's starter Marco Gonzales, has struggled at times, contributing to their 26th-ranked team ERA of 4.49.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425). Their team batting average is .232, which is 25th in the league. Despite their offensive struggles, the Diamondbacks have been strong in pitching, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. Their bullpen has secured 26 saves, tied for 14th in the league, and has been a crucial part of their success in close games.
Team Injuries
| Team | Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | Bailey Falter | SP | Arm | 15-Day IL |
| Pirates | Daulton Jefferies | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Pirates | Jared Jones | RP | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Pirates | Ryan Borucki | RP | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
| Pirates | Dauri Moreta | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Pirates | Endy Rodriguez | C | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Pirates | Johan Oviedo | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Diamondbacks | Blake Walston | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Diamondbacks | Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Diamondbacks | Kyle Nelson | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Diamondbacks | Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Diamondbacks | Drey Jameson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | 49-48 | Mlodzinski 2-3 | Alvarado 1-4 | NaN | 39530 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | 50-48 | Ortiz 5-2 | Sanchez 7-5 | NaN | 39114 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | 50-49 | Phillips 2-0 | Gonzales 1-1 | NaN | 38291 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W2-1 | 51-49 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L2-1 | 51-50 | Fernandez 1-2 | Skenes 6-1 | Helsley 33 | 32422 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs St. Louis | W5-0 | 52-50 | Perez 2-5 | Liberatore 2-3 | NaN | 20091 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Arizona | L4-3 | 52-51 | Gallen 8-5 | Mlodzinski 2-4 | Sewald 16 | 31255 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Kansas City | W8-6 | 53-50 | Mantiply 4-2 | McArthur 4-4 | NaN | 15931 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Pittsburgh | W4-3 | 54-50 | Gallen 8-5 | Mlodzinski 2-4 | Sewald 16 | 31255 |
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Prediction
The Pirates and Diamondbacks have both shown strong performances recently, but the Diamondbacks' home advantage and pitching depth may give them the edge in this matchup. However, given the Pirates' ability to score and the Diamondbacks' bullpen inconsistencies, a high-scoring game could


