MLB Player Props Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:07:25 AM
MLB Player Props Advice: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50) on Saturday, July 27, 2025, at Chase Field in Phoenix. This game will be the second meeting in the series, with the Diamondbacks leading 1-0 after a narrow 4-3 victory in the opener.
The Diamondbacks have been solid at home this season with a 27-24 record and have shown a propensity to rack up wins when they score five or more runs, going 41-10 in such games. They are coming off a strong stretch, winning seven of their last ten games with a .254 batting average and a commendable 3.64 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 17 runs.
The Pirates, meanwhile, have had a decent road record at 26-25 and are also 7-3 in their last ten games. They have a slightly better batting average during this span at .258 and a stellar team ERA of 2.53, outscoring their opponents by 14 runs. The Pirates boast the sixth-best team ERA in the National League at 3.78, which has contributed significantly to their competitive standing.
This matchup promises to be an exciting one, featuring two teams that have been playing well recently and have a lot to prove as they battle for playoff positioning in their respective divisions.
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Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+475), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+260), Under 0.5 (-350)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-210)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-130)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-160), Under 0.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
Geraldo Perdomo has been a key contributor for the Diamondbacks this season, especially in recent games. Perdomo is known for his versatility and ability to get on base. Over his last ten games, he has shown a steady performance, contributing significantly to Arizona's offensive efforts. His ability to draw walks and make contact has made him a reliable option in the lineup.
Opposing Analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates' pitching staff has been one of their strengths this season, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking them sixth in the NL. Marco Gonzales, the probable starting pitcher for the Pirates, has been particularly effective with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in his limited appearances this season. Gonzales has demonstrated good control, striking out 19 batters while allowing only six walks in 26.2 innings pitched.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.27 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been solid both at the plate and on the mound. They rank eighth in the league in hits (888) and runs scored (513), with a team batting average of .253. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, with a team ERA of 4.49, which ranks 26th in the league. The Pirates have been particularly effective in limiting errors, ranking 30th with just 42 errors this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks' offense has struggled at times, ranking 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs scored (425) with a team batting average of .232. However, their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks have also been good defensively, committing 50 errors, which ranks them tied for 21st in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | SP | 15-Day IL (arm) |
| Daulton Jefferies | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jared Jones | SP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Drey Jameson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | 49-48 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | 50-48 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | 50-49 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W2-1 | 51-49 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L2-1 | 51-50 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs St. Louis | W5-0 | 52-50 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Arizona | L4-3 | 52-51 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Kansas City | W8-6 | 53-50 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Pittsburgh | W4-3 | 54-50 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Total Bases (-160)
Geraldo Perdomo has been a steady contributor for the Diamondbacks and is well-positioned to have an impact in this game. Given his recent form and the Pirates' pitching matchup, we recommend taking the Over 0.5 Total Bases for this game. Perdomo's ability to get on base and his recent performance make this a favorable bet.
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