MLB Player Props Advice: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:07:32 AM
MLB Player Props Advice: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
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Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (60-44, second in the AL East) will visit the Boston Red Sox (54-47, third in the AL East) on Friday, July 26, 2024, to kick off a three-game series at Fenway Park. The game is set to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Red Sox lead the season series 4-2 against the Yankees this year, adding an extra layer of intensity to this storied rivalry.
The Yankees have been solid on the road with a 33-21 record, while the Red Sox are slightly under .500 at home with a 24-25 record. Boston has been one of the top power-hitting teams in the American League this season, ranking fourth with 121 total home runs. On the other side, New York boasts a .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors.
Recent performances for both teams have been a mixed bag. Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 4-6 with a .289 batting average, but their pitching staff has struggled with a 4.88 ERA. The Yankees are also 4-6 in their last 10, hitting .244 with a 3.98 team ERA.
For the Yankees, Juan Soto continues to be a standout performer, hitting .311 with 26 home runs, 82 walks, and 72 RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also been hot, going 11-for-35 with two home runs over the last 10 games. The Red Sox have their own stars in Jarren Duran, who has 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs this season, and Tyler O'Neill, who is 13-for-42 with four home runs in his last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
Trent Grisham:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)
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Player Analysis
Trent Grisham has been a reliable contributor for the Yankees this season. Despite some inconsistency, he has shown the ability to come through in clutch moments. Over the past week, Grisham has been making solid contact, which reflects positively on his prop bets for hits, runs, and total bases. His overall batting average this season stands at a respectable .257, with 15 home runs and 54 RBIs. While he isn't the most prolific hitter in the lineup, his ability to get on base and score runs should not be underestimated.
Opposing Analysis
The Red Sox pitching staff, particularly Brayan Bello, has had its ups and downs this season. Bello comes into this game with a 10-5 record, but his ERA is a concerning 5.27, and his WHIP is 1.44. Over 95.2 innings pitched, he has allowed 104 hits, including 15 home runs. This suggests that Boston's pitchers have been vulnerable to giving up runs and hits, making them a favorable matchup for opposing hitters like Grisham. The Red Sox bullpen has also been shaky, which could provide additional opportunities for Grisham to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 111 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 92 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been one of the most consistent teams in the league this season. Their hitting ranks among the top in the league in several categories, including on-base percentage (.331) and batting average (.257). Key players like Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been instrumental in their success. The Yankees' pitching staff has also been solid, with an overall ERA of 3.80, ranking 12th in the league. Their bullpen, led by closer Aroldis Chapman, has been effective, converting 26 saves, tied for 13th in the league.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have had a roller-coaster season. Offensively, they are one of the top power-hitting teams in the league, with 121 home runs, ranking fourth in the AL. However, their pitching has been inconsistent. The starting rotation has struggled, as evidenced by Brayan Bello's 5.27 ERA. The bullpen has also had its issues, with several key relievers on the injured list. Despite these challenges, the Red Sox remain a competitive team due to their potent offense and solid defense.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 10-Day IL (Hamstring) |
| Nick Burdi | RP | 60-Day IL (Hip) |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 60-Day IL (Wrist) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | 60-Day IL (Ribs) |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | 10-Day IL (Hamstring) |
| Kenley Jansen | RP | Day-to-Day (Heart) |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 1-9 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-6 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 9-1 | W |
| vs New York | 2-3 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 1-4 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-7 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-9 | L |
| @ Colorado | 8-9 | L |
| @ Colorado | 6-0 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Trent Grisham (+150)
Given Trent Grisham's recent form and the vulnerability of the Red Sox pitching staff, betting on Grisham to exceed 1.5 total bases is a solid pick. Brayan Bello's high ERA and WHIP suggest that Grisham will have opportunities to get on base and potentially score. Additionally, the favorable odds of +150 make this prop bet an attractive option.
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