MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
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MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs will take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 29. Both teams are looking to climb up the standings, with the Cubs currently holding a 50-55 record and the Reds at 51-56. The Cubs have been struggling lately, losing four of their last five games, while the Reds are also on a downward trend, having lost six of their last ten.

The Cubs' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 28th in hits and batting average. Despite these struggles, they have managed to be 15th in runs scored. On the pitching side, they have a respectable team ERA of 3.83, which is 11th in the league. The Reds, on the other hand, have slightly better offensive numbers, ranking 22nd in hits and 24th in batting average. Their pitching has been more reliable with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th in the league.

This game features an intriguing pitching matchup with Jameson Taillon starting for the Reds and Carson Spiers for the Cubs. Taillon has been impressive this season with a 2.96 ERA and a 7-5 record, while Spiers has a 3.83 ERA and a 3-2 record. Both pitchers will be looking to give their teams a strong start and set the tone for the game.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are some of the key player prop odds for Elly De La Cruz:

  • Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +311, Under -504
  • Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +460
  • Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +172, Under -244
  • Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -115, Under -119
  • Batter Singles (0.5): Over +106, Under -145
  • Batter Stolen Bases (0.5): Over +130, Under -185
  • Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +114, Under -157

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Player Analysis

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Cubs this season. Leading the team in batting average (.263) and home runs (18), De La Cruz has shown his ability to be a game-changer at the plate. He also tops the team in MLB rating with a score of 387.8. His performance will be crucial for the Cubs against the Reds' strong pitching.

Opposing Analysis

Jameson Taillon has been stellar on the mound for the Reds, boasting a 2.96 ERA and a 7-5 record. He has 78 strikeouts in 100.1 innings pitched and has kept hitters at bay with a WHIP of 1.15. The Cubs' hitters will have their work cut out for them as they face Taillon, who has been particularly effective at home.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
J. Taillon 7-5 2.96 1.15 100.1 94 78 21 12
C. Spiers 3-2 3.83 1.26 47.0 50 41 9 5

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have struggled offensively this season, ranking near the bottom in hits (785) and batting average (.228). Despite these struggles, they have managed to score 460 runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.83. The Cubs' fielding has also been solid, with only 65 errors, ranking 4th in the league.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have slightly better offensive numbers, with 830 hits and a .233 batting average. They have scored 440 runs, ranking 22nd in the league. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a team ERA of 3.72. The Reds' fielding has been average, with 53 errors, ranking 19th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
C. Kilian RP Mon, Jul 29 Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
P. Burdick RF Mon, Jul 29 Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
L. Maile C Mon, Jul 29 Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
C. Spiers SP Mon, Jul 29 Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 vs Arizona L5-2 47-52 Nelson 7-6 Steele 2-4 Sewald 14 40691
Sat, Jul 20 vs Arizona L3-0 47-53 Gallen 7-5 Hendricks 2-8 Sewald 15 39595
Sun, Jul 21 vs Arizona W2-1 F/10 48-53 Neris 8-2 Mantiply 3-2 NaN 39162
Mon, Jul 22 vs Milwaukee W3-1 49-53 Smyly 3-5 Myers 6-4 Neris 14 35741
Tue, Jul 23 vs Milwaukee L1-0 49-54 Peguero 6-3 Taillon 7-5 Megill 20 37651

Cincinnati Reds

DATE OPPONENT RESULT W-L WIN LOSS SAVE ATT
Fri, Jul 19 @ Washington L8-5 47-51 Corbin 2-9 Montas 4-8 Finnegan 26 38402
Sat, Jul 20 @ Washington L5-4 47-52 Law 6-2 Wilson 1-2 Finnegan 27 32734
Sun, Jul 21 @ Washington L5-2 47-53 Garcia 2-3 Sims 1-4 Finnegan 28 23967
Mon, Jul 22 @ Atlanta W4-1 48-53 Greene 7-4 Lopez 7-4 NaN 38779
Tue, Jul 23 @ Atlanta Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed Postponed

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Prediction

Given the odds and recent performances, the best value might be found in Elly De La Cruz's Batter Doubles prop. With odds of +311 for over 0.5 doubles, this could be a high-reward option given his ability to hit for extra bases. However, considering the pitching matchup, betting on De La Cruz to score a run at -115 also seems like a safer bet.

Pick: Over 0.5 Batter Doubles

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