MLB Player Props Advice: Braves vs Mets 7/25

MLB Player Props Advice: Braves vs Mets 7/25

Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves are currently on a four-game losing streak, bringing their overall record to 54-46, which places them second in the NL East. The Mets, with a 53-48 record, are right behind the Braves in third place. Both teams have been competitive throughout the season, and the season series is tied at 3-3, making this a pivotal game for both squads.

In their last ten games, the Mets have a 7-3 record, hitting a team average of .265 and maintaining a 3.68 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 18 runs. In contrast, the Braves have struggled with a 3-7 record, hitting only .221 and posting a 4.60 ERA, being outscored by 14 runs. The Braves are looking to bounce back and end their losing streak, while the Mets aim to continue their recent success.

Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets, who leads the team with a .259 batting average, 21 home runs, and 60 RBIs. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna has been a standout, leading the team with 48 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs. Both teams have significant injuries that could impact their performance, including the Braves' Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Mets' Harrison Bader.

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Player Prop Odds

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Adam Duvall Prop Odds:

• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-145)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+420)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+150)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)

Player Analysis

Adam Duvall has been a consistent power threat for the Braves. This season, he has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well for his matchup against the Mets' Luis Severino. Duvall has shown the ability to hit for power, as evidenced by his prop odds for home runs (+420) and RBIs (+165). His ability to drive in runs and hit extra-base hits makes him a valuable player to watch in this game.

Opposing Analysis

For pitching props, analyze opposing team's hitting; for hitting props, analyze opposing pitchers. Luis Severino has been solid for the Mets this season, posting a 7-3 record with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. However, he has shown some vulnerability to power hitters, having given up 12 home runs in 115.2 innings pitched. The Braves, as a team, have a collective batting average of .241 and have been known to capitalize on pitchers who give up the long ball.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Chris Sale (ATL)	13-3	2.70	0.95	110.0	81	140	24	7
Luis Severino (NYM)	7-3	3.58	1.18	115.2	96	88	40	12

Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have struggled recently, but they still have a strong roster. Their hitters are batting a collective .241, which ranks 10th in the NL. Marcell Ozuna has been a key player, leading the team with 48 extra-base hits. On the pitching side, Chris Sale has been dominant with a 13-3 record and a 2.70 ERA. Their bullpen has also been reliable, with 28 saves on the season.

New York Mets

The Mets have been performing well, particularly at home, where they have a 26-26 record. Francisco Lindor has been their standout player, leading the team with a .259 batting average and 21 home runs. Luis Severino has been effective as a starter, and their bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves. The Mets' ability to hit home runs (26-10 in games with at least two home runs) could be a deciding factor in this game.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	CF	Wed, Jul 24	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
Ozzie Albies	2B	Wed, Jul 24	Wrist	10-Day IL
Max Fried	SP	Wed, Jul 24	Forearm	15-Day IL
Ronald Acuna Jr.	RF	Wed, Jul 24	Knee	60-Day IL

New York Mets

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Harrison Bader	CF	Thu, Jul 25	Ankle	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Christian Scott	RP	Thu, Jul 25	Elbow	15-Day IL
Starling Marte	RF	Thu, Jul 25	Knee	10-Day IL

Recent Games

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Atlanta Braves

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs St. Louis	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	W3-2 F/10	54-42	Johnson 3-1	Roycroft 1-2	NaN	37042
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	L9-5	54-43	Gray 10-6	Elder 1-4	Leahy 1	42168
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	L6-2	54-44	Mikolas 8-8	Schwellenbach 3-5	NaN	36348
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	L4-1	54-45	Greene 7-4	Lopez 7-4	NaN	38779
Wed, Jul 24	vs Cincinnati	L9-4	54-46	Moll 2-1	Winans 0-2	NaN	34407

New York Mets

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Miami	L6-4	49-47	Bender 4-2	Manaea 6-4	Scott 15	16542
Sat, Jul 20	@ Miami	W1-0	50-47	Severino 7-3	Munoz 1-5	Diaz 11	21902
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	L4-2	50-48	Cronin 2-2	Scott 0-3	Scott 16	19418
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	W6-4	51-48	Peterson 5-0	Chirinos 0-2	Diaz 12	13068
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	W3-2	52-48	Quintana 5-6	Tonkin 3-4	Diekman 4	47453
Wed, Jul 24	@ New York	W12-3	53-48	Ottavino 2-2	Cole 3-2	NaN	48760

Prediction

Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchup, this game is likely to be a close contest. Adam Duvall's prop for total bases over 1.5 (+160) looks enticing given his power potential and Severino's susceptibility to home runs. Additionally, considering the Braves' need to bounce back, Duvall will be a key player to contribute offensively.

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