MLB Player Props Advice: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 11:23:06 AM
MLB Player Props Advice: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (60-41), leading the AL East, will visit the Miami Marlins (37-65), who are at the bottom of the NL East, on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida. The Orioles will be looking to break their current three-game road losing streak. Miami, on the other hand, will try to capitalize on their recent home form to secure another win. The game is set to start at 12:10 p.m. EDT.
In their recent performances, the Marlins have shown a mix of resilience and struggle. They have a 5-5 record over their last 10 games and have been hitting well with a team batting average of .287. However, their pitching has been less reliable, sporting a 4.14 ERA. Notably, the Marlins have excelled when they out-hit their opponents, boasting a 27-12 record in such games.
The Orioles, despite their strong season overall, have hit a rough patch with a 3-7 record over their last 10 games. Their team batting average has slumped to .228 during this period, and their ERA has risen to 4.86. The Orioles will need to find their earlier form to avoid extending their losing streak.
This will be the third meeting between these two teams this season, and both will be eager to assert their dominance. Historical matchups indicate a competitive edge for the Orioles, but the Marlins’ recent home performance could level the playing field.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Austin Hays:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +290
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +250
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +150
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -105
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -115
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +115
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Player Analysis
Austin Hays has been a consistent performer for the Orioles. With a batting average of .248, Hays has accumulated 38 hits in 153 at-bats this season. He has also hit 3 home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. Despite being in a bit of a slump, Hays has the potential to be a significant contributor in this game.
His recent form shows promise, and he has the capability to exceed his prop odds, especially in doubles and total bases. Given his batting position and the Marlins' pitching struggles, Hays could exploit the gaps and add to his tally.
Opposing Analysis
The Marlins’ probable starting pitcher, Roddery Munoz, has had a rough season with a 1-5 record, a 5.14 ERA, and a 1.39 WHIP. Munoz has struggled with consistency and control, giving up a significant number of hits and runs. This bodes well for Hays, who could capitalize on Munoz’s vulnerabilities.
The Marlins’ bullpen has also been inconsistent, with an overall ERA of 4.49. This further increases the chances of Hays having a productive game at the plate.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | BAL | 10-4 | 2.38 | 116 |
| Roddery Munoz | MIA | 1-5 | 5.14 | 47 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have relied heavily on their batting lineup to secure wins this season. With a team batting average of .252, they rank 7th in MLB. Key players like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been instrumental in their success. However, their recent slump in form has raised concerns.
On the pitching front, Corbin Burnes has been a standout performer with a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts. The Orioles’ bullpen, however, has struggled with a 4.86 ERA in recent games.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have had a tough season, reflected in their 37-65 record. Their batting has been relatively strong, with a .252 team average, but their pitching has let them down. Roddery Munoz will need to improve significantly to give the Marlins a fighting chance.
The Marlins' bullpen, with a 4.14 ERA over the last 10 games, needs to tighten up to prevent the Orioles from getting back into form.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Day-to-day (Elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | RP | Day-to-day (Shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (UCL Sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | SP | 10-Day IL (Ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (Finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (Shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (Back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Eury Perez | RP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow) |
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Austin Hays (+115)
Given the current form of the Marlins' pitching staff and Austin Hays' ability to find gaps in the outfield, betting on Hays to exceed 1.5 total bases seems like a prudent choice. The odds are favorable at +115, and Hays has shown he can deliver under these circumstances. Expect him to exploit the pitching weaknesses of Roddery Munoz and the Marlins' bullpen.
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