MLB Player Prop Predictions: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:06:07 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners (55-51, second in the AL West) will face off against the Chicago White Sox (27-80, fifth in the AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT. The White Sox are entering this matchup on a dismal 13-game losing streak, making them desperate for a turnaround. Chicago has struggled both at home and overall, with a 17-36 record at home and a 27-80 record overall. Their performance in games where they hit at least two home runs stands at 9-14.
On the other hand, the Mariners have been slightly better on the road, with a 24-28 away record and a 55-51 overall record. Seattle has an impressive record of 40-6 in games when they out-hit their opponents. The Mariners lead the season series against the White Sox 5-1, making them the favorites going into this game. The last ten games have seen the White Sox go a miserable 0-10 with a .196 batting average and a 6.20 ERA, being outscored by 43 runs. The Mariners, although not dominant, have a 3-7 record in their last ten games with a .194 batting average and a 2.15 ERA, outscoring opponents by one run.
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Player Prop Odds
Victor Robles:
- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -155
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +310
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +120
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +100
- Batter Stolen Bases (0.5): Over +235
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +190
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Player Analysis
Victor Robles has had a challenging season but has shown flashes of potential that make him an intriguing player for prop bets. Robles has a batting average of .253 with 3 home runs and 18 RBIs this season. While these numbers may not jump off the page, his speed and situational hitting make him a valuable asset. He has 12 stolen bases to his name, highlighting his ability to create scoring opportunities. With the White Sox's current pitching struggles, Robles could exploit gaps in their defense, making the over on Batter Hits at 0.5 a compelling bet.
Opposing Analysis
The White Sox are sending Garrett Crochet to the mound, who has been one of their more reliable pitchers this season. Crochet has a 6-7 record with a 3.07 ERA and 157 strikeouts in 111.1 innings pitched. Despite his solid numbers, the White Sox bullpen has been less than stellar, which could open the door for hitters like Robles to capitalize on late-game opportunities. The Mariners' batting lineup, although not consistent, has the potential to break through against a struggling White Sox team, making prop bets on Mariners hitters quite appealing.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 7-7 | 3.41 | 1.03 | 116.0 | 90 | 103 | 29 | 15 |
| G. Crochet | 6-7 | 3.07 | 0.97 | 111.1 | 83 | 157 | 25 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in hits (758) and last in runs (324) and batting average (.217). Their pitching, however, has been more consistent, with a team ERA of 4.66. Their relief pitching has been a mixed bag, and fielding errors have also been a concern with 62 errors, ranking 6th in the league.
Chicago White Sox
Chicago has had a disastrous season, ranking last in hits (741) and batting average (.217), and 28th in runs (400). Their pitching has been slightly better with a team ERA of 3.38, but their bullpen has struggled with consistency. They have committed 57 errors, ranking tied for 12th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | C | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Jordan Leasure | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Mike Soroka | SP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Dominic Leone | RP | Right Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Yoan Moncada | 3B | Abductor | 60-Day IL |
| Jimmy Lambert | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Matt Foster | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jesse Scholtens | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| J.P. Crawford | SS | Hand | 10-Day IL |
| Julio Rodriguez | OF | Ankle | 10-Day IL |
| Dominic Canzone | OF | Abductor | 10-Day IL |
| Sam Haggerty | IF | Achilles | 60-Day IL |
| Matt Brash | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jackson Kowar | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Kansas City | L 7-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 6-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Texas | L 4-3 F/10 | L |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Victor Robles (-155)
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