MLB Player Prop Predictions: Marlins vs Brewers 07/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:46:48 AM
MLB Player Prop Predictions: Marlins vs Brewers 07/28
Photo Credit: © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins come into this game with a strong record of 59-45, significantly outperforming the Brewers who have struggled to a 39-66 record. The Marlins have been on a roll recently, winning seven of their last ten games, while the Brewers have only managed to win three of their last ten.
The Marlins have dominated recent matchups against the Brewers, winning the last two games by scores of 6-2 and 7-3. Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in this matchup, especially with their strong pitching staff and consistent hitting.
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Player Prop Odds
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Ali Sanchez
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135) / Under 0.5 (+100)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+290) / Under 0.5 (-450)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+250) / Under 0.5 (-370)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+125) / Under 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-135) / Under 0.5 (+100)
Player Analysis
Ali Sanchez has been one of the consistent performers for the Miami Marlins this season. Sanchez, known for his defensive capabilities, has also shown flashes of offensive prowess. Although his season batting average of .245 might not be eye-popping, he has managed to come through in key situations for the Marlins.
One of the highlights of Sanchez's season has been his ability to get on base and contribute to the Marlins' scoring. With a recent uptick in form, Sanchez has recorded hits in three of the last five games, making him a viable candidate for the over 0.5 hits prop. Additionally, his recent performance indicates that he could potentially rack up total bases, making the over 0.5 total bases at -135 an attractive option.
Opposing Analysis
For the Milwaukee Brewers, Kyle Tyler will be the probable starting pitcher. Tyler has a moderate ERA of 3.92 and has struggled with consistency this season. In his last few outings, Tyler has shown vulnerability against right-handed hitters, which could work in favor of Sanchez, who bats right-handed.
Moreover, the Brewers' bullpen has been somewhat unreliable, often allowing games to slip away in the later innings. This could provide additional opportunities for Sanchez to capitalize and achieve the over on his prop bets.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 68 |
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 15 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been one of the surprise packages this season, currently sitting with a record of 59-45. Their strengths have been consistent hitting, a solid bullpen, and excellent fielding. The Marlins rank 7th in hits (890) and tied for 8th in runs scored (489). Their team batting average of .254 is among the best in the league, ranking 6th.
On the pitching side, the Marlins have an ERA of 3.72, which ranks 6th in the league. Tobias Myers has been a standout performer, with an ERA of 3.14 and 68 strikeouts in 77.1 innings pitched. The bullpen has contributed 35 saves, ranking 3rd in the league.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers have had a challenging season, currently sitting with a record of 39-66. Offensively, the Brewers have struggled, ranking 29th in runs scored (374) and 20th in batting average (.236). Jesus Sanchez has been a bright spot, leading the team with a batting average of .245.
On the pitching side, the Brewers have an ERA of 4.48, which ranks 25th in the league. Kyle Tyler, with an ERA of 3.92, has shown potential but struggled with consistency. The bullpen has been a weak point, contributing only 20 saves, which ranks tied for 27th in the league.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
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Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits (-135)
Given Ali Sanchez's recent form and the struggles of Kyle Tyler against right-handed hitters, betting on Sanchez to get at least one hit seems like a solid play. Coupled with the Brewers' bullpen issues, Sanchez has a good chance to exceed the 0.5 hits mark.
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