MLB Player Prop Predictions: Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:20:32 AM
MLB Player Prop Predictions: Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox 7/29
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Kansas City Royals (57-49, third in the AL Central) are set to face the Chicago White Sox (27-81, fifth in the AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Royals, who have dominated the season series with a 9-1 advantage, will look to capitalize on the White Sox’s ongoing seven-game home losing streak.
Chicago has struggled overall this season with a 17-37 record at home. The White Sox have particularly struggled to hit, going 20-35 in games when they record at least eight hits. Kansas City, on the other hand, has a 21-27 record on the road and has performed well when hitting, holding a 39-21 record in games when they record eight or more hits.
In their last 10 games, the Royals have gone 5-5 with a .282 batting average and a 4.04 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 10 runs. Meanwhile, the White Sox have been in a slump, losing all 10 of their last games with a .188 batting average and a 5.67 ERA, being outscored by 41 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
For Maikel Garcia:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)
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Player Analysis
Maikel Garcia has been a solid contributor for the Kansas City Royals this season. He has shown a knack for getting on base and driving in runs, making him a valuable asset in the lineup. Garcia's recent form has been impressive, and he has a good track record against the White Sox pitching staff. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a threat every time he steps up to the plate. Given his current odds, prop bets on Garcia could provide significant value, especially considering his recent performances.
Opposing Analysis
Chris Flexen, the probable starting pitcher for the Chicago White Sox, has had a challenging season. With a 2-10 record, a 5.25 ERA, and a 1.42 WHIP over 106.1 innings, Flexen has struggled to contain opposing hitters. The Royals, who have seen Flexen multiple times this season, have been successful against him. Flexen's high WHIP and propensity to give up hits make him a favorable matchup for Garcia, who excels at getting on base and driving in runs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 7-7 | 4.75 | 1.24 | 96.2 | 89 | 90 | 31 | 14 |
| Chris Flexen (CHW) | 2-10 | 5.25 | 1.42 | 106.1 | 108 | 78 | 43 | 18 |
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Team Previews
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have been solid this season, especially when it comes to hitting. They rank 29th in hits (774) and 30th in runs (330), with a team batting average of .217. Their pitching staff has struggled with a 4.67 ERA, ranking 29th overall. However, their ability to produce hits and score runs has been a key factor in their success this season.
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have had a tough season, with a 27-81 record and a 17-37 record at home. They rank 14th in hits (879) and 12th in runs (490), with a team batting average of .250. Their pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, ranking 10th overall. Despite their struggles, the White Sox have shown flashes of potential, particularly with their hitting.
Team Injuries
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Knee | Day-to-day |
| Hunter Harvey | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Back | Day-to-day |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Biceps | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Wright | SP | Mon, Jul 29 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Chicago White Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | C | Sat, Jul 27 | Hip | 60-Day IL |
| Jordan Leasure | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Mike Soroka | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Dominic Leone | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Right Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Neck | Out for the season |
| Yoan Moncada | 3B | Sat, Jul 27 | Abductor | 60-Day IL |
| Jimmy Lambert | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Matt Foster | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jesse Scholtens | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | W 7-1 | W |
| Chicago | W 6-1 | W |
| Chicago | W 4-1 | W |
| Arizona | W 10-4 | W |
| Arizona | L 6-2 | L |
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | L 7-1 | L |
| Kansas City | L 6-1 | L |
| Kansas City | L 4-1 | L |
| Texas | L 4-3 F/10 | L |
| Texas | L 3-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Maikel Garcia's current form and the favorable matchup against Chris Flexen, the prop bet for Garcia to have Over 1.5 Total Bases at +140 provides excellent value. Garcia has the ability to get on base and drive in runs, making this a strong pick.
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