MLB Player Prop Predictions: Braves vs Mets 7/25
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 25, 2024, 9:57:52 AM
MLB Player Prop Predictions: Braves vs Mets 7/25
Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Thursday, July 25, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Braves are currently on a four-game losing streak and will be looking to turn their fortunes around against a Mets team that has been playing .500 baseball at home. The Braves hold a 54-46 record, placing them second in the NL East, while the Mets are close behind with a 53-48 record, sitting third in the division.
In their recent performances, the Braves have struggled, going 3-7 in their last 10 games with a .221 batting average and a 4.60 ERA. They've been outscored by 14 runs during this stretch. On the other hand, the Mets have been solid, posting a 7-3 record in their last 10 games with a .265 batting average and a 3.68 ERA, outscoring opponents by 18 runs.
Historically, the Braves and Mets have been evenly matched this season, with the season series tied at 3-3. Francisco Lindor has been a standout performer for the Mets, leading the team with a .259 batting average, 21 home runs, and 60 RBIs. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna has been the power hitter, leading the team with 48 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: 0.5 Over +440
- Batter Hits: 0.5 Over -180
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 Over +250
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 Over +110
- Batter Singles: 0.5 Over -115
- Batter Stolen Bases: 0.5 Over +350
- Batter Total Bases: 1.5 Over +165
Player Analysis: Nacho Alvarez Jr.
Nacho Alvarez Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Braves this season. With a batting average of .282, he has shown the ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. Alvarez Jr. has hit 12 home runs and driven in 45 runs, proving to be a key player in the Braves' lineup. His recent form has been solid, hitting .290 over the last 10 games with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
Alvarez Jr. will face off against Mets' pitcher Luis Severino, who has a 7-3 record with a 3.58 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Severino has been effective but has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters, allowing a .255 batting average against them. The Braves' lineup, which includes power hitters like Marcell Ozuna and Travis d'Arnaud, will look to exploit Severino's weaknesses and provide run support for Alvarez Jr.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
Team Previews
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Atlanta Braves
- Hitting: The Braves have a team batting average of .251, ranking 10th in the NL. Key hitters include Marcell Ozuna and Travis d'Arnaud.
- Relief Pitching: Braves' bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, ranking 20th in the league. They have struggled in closing out games recently.
- Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors this season, ranking 3rd in the NL. Defensive lapses have cost them in close games.
- Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale leads the rotation with a 13-3 record and a 2.70 ERA. He has been dominant, striking out 140 batters in 110 innings.
New York Mets
- Hitting: The Mets have a team batting average of .241, ranking 17th in the NL. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are key contributors.
- Relief Pitching: Mets' bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league. They have been effective in holding leads late in games.
- Fielding: The Mets have committed 42 errors, ranking 29th in the NL. They have been solid defensively, minimizing costly mistakes.
- Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino has been a reliable starter with a 7-3 record and a 3.58 ERA. He will look to continue his strong form against the Braves.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | Knee | 60-Day IL |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Day-to-Day |
| Christian Scott | P | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Starling Marte | OF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Ronny Mauricio | SS | Knee | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Atlanta Braves
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 | W |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
New York Mets
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| Jul 20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Considering Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s recent form and the odds provided, a strong player prop bet would be on Alvarez Jr. to record over 0.5 hits at -180 odds. Alvarez Jr. has been hitting well recently and facing a pitcher like Severino, who has been vulnerable to left-handed hitters, presents a good opportunity for Alvarez Jr. to continue his hitting streak.
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