MLB Player Prop Prediction: Yankees vs Phillies on 7/31

Free MLB Player Props Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees will face the Philadelphia Phillies on July 31, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This matchup features two teams that have shown competitive performances throughout the season. The Yankees currently hold a record of 65-42, sitting atop the American League East, while the Phillies trail closely with a record of 64-45, competing vigorously in the National League East. Historically, the Yankees have had the edge over the Phillies in their recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 10 games against them. Both teams have experienced fluctuations in their form recently, with the Yankees winning 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing their offensive prowess. In contrast, the Phillies have struggled a bit, losing 5 out of their last 10 games. The Yankees' offense has been a force, ranking 6th in runs scored (516) and 5th in hits (924) this season. They have shown a balanced attack, with strong contributions from players like Aaron Judge, who leads the team with 39 home runs and 99 RBIs. On the pitching side, Cristopher Sanchez (7-6, 3.05 ERA) will take the mound for the Yankees, looking to continue his solid form. The Phillies will counter with Nestor Cortes (4-9, 4.13 ERA), who has faced challenges this season but has the capability of delivering a strong performance. The stage is set for an exciting encounter, and the weather is expected to be favorable with intermittent clouds and a temperature of 85°F.

 

 

Player Prop Odds

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+250)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)

Player Analysis

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a key player for the Miami Marlins, hitting well this season. He currently has a batting average of .276 with 15 home runs and 45 RBIs. His speed on the bases has made him a constant threat, with 20 stolen bases so far this season. Chisholm's ability to get on base and score runs has been instrumental in the Marlins' success, and he has shown the capability to hit doubles and singles consistently.

Opposing Analysis

The Yankees' pitching, led by Cristopher Sanchez, has been effective against left-handed hitters, allowing a batting average of just .240 this season. Sanchez has demonstrated solid control and has been able to limit the number of runs scored against him. However, the Phillies' lineup, featuring power hitters like Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, can present a challenge as they rank 1st in runs scored (553) this season. Their ability to drive in runs will be crucial in this matchup.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Cristopher Sanchez (NYY)	7-6	3.05	91
Nestor Cortes (PHI)	4-9	4.13	116

Team Previews

The New York Yankees have been a dominant force this season, ranking 1st in the AL East with a record of 65-42. Their offense has been explosive, with a .256 batting average and the ability to score runs in bunches. The Yankees have a strong pitching staff that ranks 3rd in ERA (3.53), which complements their offensive capabilities well. Their bullpen has also been reliable, contributing to their success.

The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, have had a solid season with a record of 64-45. They rank 11th in the league with a .251 batting average, but their ability to drive in runs has kept them competitive. The pitching staff has shown promise, with a 3.68 ERA, ranking 5th in the league. The Phillies will need to capitalize on scoring opportunities and ensure their pitchers can limit the Yankees' powerful lineup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Gerrit Cole	SP	Tue, Jul 30	Rest	Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
Taijuan Walker	SP	Mon, Jul 29	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 7

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7	L
@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0	W
@ Minnesota	L 7-2	L
@ Minnesota	W 3-0	W

Prediction

Considering the current form of Jazz Chisholm Jr. and the opposing pitching matchup, I predict that he will hit Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-105). With the Yankees' strong offensive lineup, Chisholm will have opportunities to score given his speed and ability to get on base. Additionally, with the Yankees’ pitching potentially struggling against left-handed hitters, he may find himself in a position to cross home plate.

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